Markets Daily
Market Snapshot Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index 1,221.92 +0.09% S&P 500 Futures 5,633.5 -0.67% Nasdaq 100 Futures 19,869 -0.93% US 10-Year Treas
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Markets Snapshot
Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index 1,221.92 +0.09%
S&P 500 Futures 5,633.5 -0.67%
Nasdaq 100 Futures 19,869 -0.93%
US 10-Year Treasury Yield 4.349% +0.008
Bitcoin 94,152.88 -0.09%
Market data as of 06:41 am EST. View or Create your Watchlist
Market data may be delayed depending on provider agreements.

Five things you need to know

  • US stock futures point to a second day of declines. Palantir tumbles 9% in early trading as results failed to live up to lofty expectations. Ford drops after pulling its financial guidance and warning that tariffs will take a toll.
  • Friedrich Merz suffered a shock setback when he fell short of a majority in an initial vote to confirm him as Germany’s next chancellor, preventing his swearing in and pitching Europe’s biggest economy into uncharted territory. The DAX sank 1.4%. 
  • DoorDash agreed to buy UK-based food-delivery platform Deliveroo for about £2.9 billion ($3.9 billion) as it pushes into more overseas markets. 
  • The European Union expects the Trump administration’s trade investigations to boost the amount of the bloc’s goods facing US tariffs to €549 billion ($622 billion), escalating the transatlantic conflict as the two sides try to negotiate a deal. 
  • Contemporary Amperex Technology, the world’s largest maker of batteries for electric vehicles, is gauging investor interest for a share sale that may fetch $5 billion. The CATL listing will probably be Hong Kong’s biggest in years.

What the surging Taiwan dollar means for markets 

The sharp volatility in Asian currencies this week shows the end of US exceptionalism is causing ripple effects all over the world.

While the Taiwan dollar has been in the spotlight, with wild swings this week forcing an emergency briefing by the central bank, there’s also been strong gains in the Japanese yen and Malaysian ringgit.

All that pressure is leading to some authorities to push back against any rapid appreciation of their currencies. Beijing signaled its determination to keep the yuan relatively stable as the People’s Bank of China kept its daily reference rate steady. Over in Hong Kong, authorities ramped up efforts to defend the peg.

China’s economic clout means the yuan is seen as an anchor for currencies across the region, with a stable yuan reducing the chances of extreme moves elsewhere in Asia.

“They have no desire to allow the yuan to strengthen in anticipation of a trade deal which may not eventuate, or at the very least is still some way off,” wrote Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group.

Those efforts seem to be working for now.

As Mary Nicola, a Bloomberg macro strategist writes: “The latest pullback in Asian currencies underscores a familiar truth: any sustained rally in the region’s FX complex hinges on a stronger Chinese yuan.”

She highlighted the fact that the currency’s modest fixing has helped drive a broader pullback today. The Malaysian ringgit — one of the biggest gainers in the previous sessions — is leading declines across Asia. The Taiwan dollar is also more subdued.

Still, the episode highlights how the broad shift away from US assets is still playing out, with the potential to cause some very sharp moves. 

“This fits into a more worrying bearish narrative for the dollar,” writes ING Bank strategist Francesco Pesole. “And opens up a risk that a period of supposedly dollar-positive trade deals with Asian countries may turn into an opportunity for dollar-rich Asian countries to reduce dollar exposure.” —Lynn Thomasson

On the move

  • cVertex Pharmaceuticals falls 3% in premarket trading after the drugmaker’s results trailed analyst estimates.

  • Philips slips 1.1%. The Dutch medical-technology firm cut its profitability outlook for the year due to rising trade hurdles.

  • Hugo Boss rises 5.1% after the suit maker’s earnings beat estimates, defying the tough backdrop.

  • Marriott, Datadog, Constellation Energy and Archer-Daniels-Midland report earnings before the opening bell. Super Micro, AMD, Electronic Arts, Rivian and Lucid are slated to report later in the afternoon. —Subrat Patnaik 
The Stock Movers Podcast: Five minutes on the day's stock market winners and losers. Click here to listen on apple podcasts

Lonely bull 

Wall Street stock market strategists have largely abandoned the lofty expectations they took into 2025, but one bull isn’t budging: Wells Fargo Securities’ Christopher Harvey.

He projects that the S&P 500 Index will end the year at 7,007, the same number he had at the start of 2025. Harvey’s estimate assumes the US equity benchmark will rise another 24% over the next eight months.

He sees a change of tone coming from the White House. “If we go from stick to carrot, it’s a lot different market,” Harvey said in an interview with Bloomberg Surveillance. “I think we’re past peak uncertainty.”

Harvey is pretty far out on a limb compared to even his most bullish colleagues. The average price target for the S&P 500 this year among the 29 strategists tracked by Bloomberg is 5,853. After Harvey, the next-highest predictions are Scotiabank’s Hugo Ste-Marie at 6,650 and Fundstrat’s Tom Lee at 6,600. —Alexandra Semenova

Word from Wall Street

“I see us moving from what was hyper-exceptionalism to merely exceptional.”
Marc Rowan
Apollo Global Management Inc. CEO
Rowan spoke in a Bloomberg Television interview at the Milken Institute Global Conference on Monday

One number to start your day

$542 Billion
That's a rough price tag for US space-based missile defense, according to the Congressional Budget Office. 

What else we’re reading

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