Slowly, then suddenly. That sums up the adoption of bitcoin (BTC) and the wider cryptocurrency market by institutions.

June 26, 2025

 

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What to know:

 

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Slowly, then suddenly. That sums up the adoption of bitcoin (BTC) and the wider cryptocurrency market by institutions.

It started with Strategy, then called MicroStrategy, adopting BTC as a balance sheet asset in 2020. Now the head of the U.S. government agency overseeing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac wants the mortgage giants to consider homebuyers' cryptocurrency holdings in their criteria for buying mortgages from banks.

 

"After significant studying, and in keeping with President Trump’s vision to make the United States the crypto capital of the world, today I ordered the Great Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to prepare their businesses to count cryptocurrency as an asset for a mortgage. SO ORDERED," Bill Pulte, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, said on X.

 

Getting entrenched in the housing market of the world's largest economy can only add to the ongoing bull momentum in BTC and other cryptocurrencies. And, in a move could markedly improve big banks' ability to create credit, the Federal Reserve advanced a long-awaited plan to overhaul bank capital requirements. That's a positive development for risk assets.

 

It's no surprise that BTC, which is most sensitive to fiat liquidity conditions, has extended gains in the past 24 hours, topping $108,000 at one point. The broader market capitalization is fast approaching a volatility threshold, according to FxPro's analyst Alex Kuptsikevich.

 

"The crypto market cap increased by another 1% to $3.31 trillion, reaching the threshold of increased volatility. Just above that, in the $3.40–3.55 trillion range, is a turning point, which has activated sellers and prevented the market from consolidating higher," Kuptsikevich said in an email, noting a rise in the Fear and Greed Index to 74, just one point below the extreme greed zone.

 

In other news, spot BTC ETFs recorded a net inflow of $548 million, marking 12 consecutive days of positive flows.

 

Metaplanet purchased another 1,234 BTC, a day after announcing a $515 million raise to fund the treasury strategy. Meanwhile, Nasdaq-listed Bit Digital announced a strategic shift to become a pure-play ether (ETH) staking and treasury company.

 

The Hong Kong Government issued a policy statement on the development of digital assets, focusing on streamlining regulatory aspects, expanding the suite of tokenized products, advancing use cases and cross-sectoral collaboration.

 

In traditional markets, futures tied to the Nasdaq index rose to record highs, pointing to continued risk-on sentiment while the dollar index continued to lose ground. Stay alert!

 

Overnight Flows

 

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What to Watch

Crypto

  • June 30: CME Group will introduce spot-quoted futures, pending regulatory approval, allowing trading in bitcoin, ether and major U.S. equity indices with contracts holdable for up to five years.

Macro

  • June 26, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Census Bureau releases May manufactured durable goods orders data.
    • Durable Goods Orders MoM Est. 8.5% vs. Prev. -6.3%
    • Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM Prev. -7.5%
    • Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation MoM Est. 0% vs. Prev. 0.2%
  • June 26, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases (final) Q1 GDP data.
    • GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Est. -0.2% vs. Prev. 2.4%
    • GDP Price Index QoQ Final Est. 3.7% vs. Prev. 2.3%
    • GDP Sales QoQ Final Est. -2.9% vs. Prev. 3.3%
  • June 26, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases unemployment insurance data for the week ended June 21.
    • Initial Jobless Claims Est. 245K vs. Prev. 245K
    • Continuing Jobless Claims Est. 1950K vs. Prev. 1945K
  • June 26, 3 p.m.: The Bank of Mexico announces its interest rate decision.
    • Overnight Interbank Target Rate Est. 8% Prev. 8.5%
  • June 27, 9:15 a.m.: Fed Governor Lisa D. Cook will deliver a speech at a Fed Listens event hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Livestream link.
  • June 27, 8 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) releases May unemployment rate data.
    • Unemployment Rate Est. 6.4% vs. Prev. 6.6%
  • June 27, 8 a.m.: Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography releases May unemployment rate data.
    • Unemployment Rate Est. 2.5% vs. Prev. 2.5%
  • June 27, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases May consumer income and expenditure data.
    • Core PCE Price Index MoM Est. 0.1% vs. Prev. 0.1%
    • Core PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.6% vs. Prev. 2.5%
    • PCE Price Index MoM Est. 0.1% vs. Prev. 0.1%
    • PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.3% vs. Prev. 2.1%
    • Personal Income MoM Est. 0.3% vs. Prev. 0.8%
    • Personal Spending MoM Est. 0.1% vs. Prev. 0.2%
  • June 27, 10 a.m.: The University of Michigan releases (final) June U.S. consumer sentiment data.
    • Michigan Consumer Sentiment Est. 60.5 vs. Prev. 52.2

Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)

  • None in the near future.

 

Token Events

Governance Votes & Calls

  • Lido DAO is voting on updating its Block Proposer Rewards Policy to SNOP v3. The proposal sets new standards for node operators, including use of vetted APMs and clearer responsibilities to enhance decentralization, fair rewards, and operational security. Voting ends June 30.
  • Arbitrum DAO is voting on lowering the constitutional quorum threshold from 5% to 4.5% of votable tokens. This aims to match decreased voter participation and help well-supported proposals pass more easily, without affecting non-constitutional proposals, which remain at a 3% quorum. Voting ends July 4.
  • The Polkadot community is voting on launching a non-custodial Polkadot branded payment card to “to bridge the gap between digital assets in the Polkadot ecosystem and everyday spending.” Voting ends July 9.

Unlocks

  • June 30: Optimism (OP) to unlock 1.79% of its circulating supply worth $16.82 million.
  • July 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 1.3% of its circulating supply worth $117.91 million.
  • July 2: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 0.67% of its circulating supply worth $10.52 million.
  • July 11: Immutable (IMX) to unlock 1.31% of its circulating supply worth $10.11 million.
  • July 12: Aptos (APT) to unlock 1.76% of its circulating supply worth $54.17 million.
  • July 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 3.79% of its circulating supply worth $14.07 million.

Token Launches

  • June 26: Coinbase to delist Helium Mobile (MOBILE), Render (RNDR), Ribbon Finance (RBN) and Synapse (SYN).
  • June 26: Sahara AI (SAHARA) to be listed on OKX, Bitget, MEXC, CoinW, and others.
 

Conferences

The CoinDesk Policy & Regulation conference (formerly known as State of Crypto) is a one-day boutique event held in Washington on Sept. 10 that allows general counsels, compliance officers and regulatory executives to meet with public officials responsible for crypto legislation and regulatory oversight. Space is limited. Use code CDB10 for 10% off your registration through July 17.

  • Day 3 of 3: Blockworks' Permissionless IV (New York)
  • Day 2 of 2: Bitcoin Policy Institute’s Bitcoin Policy Summit 2025 (Washington)
  • Day 2 of 2: CDAO Government 2025 (Washington)
  • Day 2 of 2: FinTech Summit Africa 2025 (Johannesburg)
  • Day 2 of 2: Money Expo Colombia 2025 (Bogota)
  • Day 2 of 2: NFY.NYC 2025 (New York)
  • Day 2 of 3: 7th Blockchain and Internet of Things Conference (Tsukuba, Japan)
  • Day 2 of 3: 7th International Congress on Blockchain and Applications (Lille, France)
  • Day 2 of 4: Solana Solstice 2025 (New York)
  • June 26: The Injective Summit (New York)
  • June 26: Webit 2025 (Sofia, Bulgaria)
  • Day 1 of 2: Istanbul Blockchain Week
  • Day 1 of 2: Seoul Meta Week 2025 (Seoul)
  • June 28: Cyprus Blockchain Summit 2025 (Limmasol)
  • June 28-29: The Bitcoin Rodeo (Calgary, Canada)
  • June 30: RWA Cannes Summit 2025 (Cannes, France)
  • June 30 to July 3: Ethereum Community Conference (Cannes, France)
  • June 30 to July 5: World Venture Forum 2025 (Kitzbühel, Austria)

Join us for this curated gathering that unites D.C.’s most important public officials with legal, policy and compliance leaders from the private sector to advance crypto standards and reform.

Space is limited. Use code CDB10 for 10% off your registration through July 17.

 

Token Talk