Plus, unicorns on the blockchain | Tuesday, July 01, 2025
 
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Axios Pro Rata
By Dan Primack · Jul 01, 2025
 
 
Top of the Morning
 
Illustration of the NATO, US and EU flags against a distressed background.

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

 

NATO nations last week agreed to spend at least 5% of GDP on defense by 2035, in a major diplomatic win for the Trump administration.

Why it matters: This is a strong tailwind for defense-tech startups, which in the past few years have moved from venture capital's Island of Misfit Toys to Love Island.

  • And it comes on the heels of Trump's plans for a "Golden Dome" missile shield that could cost $175 billion (including an initial $25 billion earmark in the reconciliation bill).

Driving the news: The NATO pledge includes 3.5% on core defense and 1.5% on securing critical infrastructure.

  • Axios Future of Defense author Colin Damarest explains: "Countries close to Russia have traditionally spent the most. This includes Estonia, Latvia and Poland — all of which have broken the 3% mark. Tallinn also is home to the alliance's digital brain trust, the NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre."

By the numbers: More than 400 global defense-tech companies have raised nearly $13 billion so far in 2025, per PitchBook.

Zoom in: As venture capitalists rush into the sector, there are some pretty big questions about how they'll ever exit.

  • Not for market leaders like Anduril, which could go public tomorrow if it wanted, but for the rank-and-file and even some smaller unicorns.
  • M&A multiples in defense are lower than in broader tech, and that's true whether the buyer is a legacy prime or an upstart like Anduril (which has been acquisitive, but hasn't been buying VC-backed startups).
  • One possibility is that Big Tech will expand deeper into defense, and thus will pay revenue multiples that will help VCs clear the preference stack. But that hasn't yet played out, particularly as those companies dig into the couch cushions for cash to spend on general AI.
  • Another is that legacy primes will fear obsolesence and pay up — although they may be content to just ride the NATO/Golden Dome rocket.

The bottom line: Defense-tech investment is booming. But it may also be sitting on a bomb.

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The BFD
 
Illustration of a glowing blockchain block with cash inside.

Illustration: Gabriella Turrisi/Axios

 

Republic has begun selling reservations for "mirror tokens" for equity in select unicorn companies. It began last week with SpaceX, and today is launching both Anthropic and Epic Games.

Why it's the BFD: This is the latest step in the march toward private market democratization, as retail investors otherwise wouldn't have access to such names.

How it works, per Axios Crypto's Brady Dale: Users can reserve exposure to future shares, or fractional shares, as tokens on the Solana blockchain. They only can trade with other wallets approved to interact with the underlying smart contract that governs the token.

  • Republic initially is running these sales via regulation crowdfunding, which has a $5 million raise limit and a $5,000 non-accredited investor cap, but hopes to eventually expand to uncapped Reg D. Currently this is what's known as the "testing the waters" phase.
  • It also claims to already have the underlying shares. Worth emphasizing, however, that users are reserving options to receive equity in the future — not actual stock for which the issuers have legal obligations.

The bottom line: Stock tokenization is coming, with Coinbase and Robinhood both recently announcing public equity plans in the U.S. and Europe, respectively.

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Venture Capital Deals
 

Klar, a Mexican financial services platform, raised $170m at a valuation north of $800m. General Atlantic led, joined by Santander Group, DEG, Grupo Televisa, Grupo Fórmula, Citius, and insiders Prosus, IFC, Mouro Capital, and Quona Capital. It also secured $20m in venture debt from WTI. axios.link/3GoxtCs

Genesis AI, a developer of foundational models for robots, raised $105m in seed funding. Eclipse and Khosla Ventures led, joined by Bpifrance and HSG. axios.link/46t4W9k

Levelpath, an SF-based procurement platform, raised $55m in Series B funding. Battery Ventures led, joined by Redpoint Ventures, Benchmark, 01A, New View Capital, and World Innovation Lab. axios.link/3I9gSD7