Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan.Annabelle Chih—Bloomberg/Getty ImagesIntel's new(ish) CEO Lip-Bu Tan dropped a bomb on the company's Q2 earnings call Thursday.
"I do not subscribe to the belief that if you build it, they will come," Tan said.
He was referring to building factories to make chips based on the 14A process node, a next-generation chipmaking process that further shrinks the size of the transistors on a chip.
"The increase in capital costs at 14A make it clear that we need both Intel products and a meaningful external customer to drive acceptable returns on our deployed capital," Tan said, "and I will only invest when I'm confident those returns exist."
That may sound like a sensible business practice, but if Tan were to follow through, it would represent a tectonic shift in the chip industry. It would mean that Intel—the company that gave us
Moore's frickin' Law!—has quit operating as a "leading-edge" chipmaker that produces the newest, most advanced processors.
From a historic perspective, it would mark the most stunning milestone yet in Intel's decline. From a geopolitical perspective, it would mean that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, or TSMC, effectively has a monopoly on leading-edge chip production.
As a result, some observers saw in Tan's comments a bit of a gambit—a thinly veiled threat to the U.S. government to pony up financial assistance (or maybe even to help arrange commitments from "external customers") lest the U.S. forfeit its edge in advanced chipmaking. It also raises questions about Intel's commitment to its foundry business, in which it produces chips for other companies in its fabs. Whatever the true motive, the statement itself shows just how challenging Intel's comeback will be.—
AO