President Trump came to office promising sweeping economic changes that brought predictions of trouble ahead. Six months in, tariffs are up, the “One Big Beautiful Bill” looks to add to an already-troubling national debt, but the predicted troubles are yet to show up in the markets or the economy. Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s chief investment officer for global fixed income, concedes that the US debt is an issue, but says, “we’ve got to outrun the debt, get growth.” And he said there’s a “plausible outcome where you get nominal GDP running at” 4.5% to 5%. That plausible outcome is based in large part on “things that nobody’s ever seen before in terms of innovation, productivity,” Rieder said. At the same time, Rieder said he’s not all that surprised that the economy has absorbed the tariff shock and appears to be moving on, given the role of services and the amount of cash in the system. |