Balance of Power
A new wave of right-wing politicians seems poised to win most of the region's presidential contests.
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The political winds are shifting again in Latin America — this time, sweeping away leftist leaders who largely failed to live up to expectations. 

Inspired by the apparent successes of Javier Milei’s “chainsaw” budget cuts in Argentina and Nayib Bukele’s iron-fisted security policies in El Salvador, a new wave of right-wing politicians seems poised to win a majority of the presidential contests scheduled across the region this year and next. 

The transformation is already evident in Bolivia, where two decades of almost-uninterrupted socialist governments left the commodities-based Andean economy collapsing. Angered by food shortages and soaring prices, voters on Sunday picked two pro-business candidates for a run-off in October. 

In Chile, prospects for another leftist government are dimming after Gabriel Boric, a former student radical who stormed to the presidency in 2021 as the world’s youngest head of state, largely failed to implement the core policy promises that got him elected.

José Antonio Kast, presidential candidate for Chile’s Republican Party, whom polls show as the favorite.  Photographer: Cristobal Olivares/Bloomberg

Instead, his presidency may be remembered, if at all, for a battle against crime and undocumented migration — causes long championed by the right. 

The situation of the left in Colombia isn’t very different.

President Gustavo Petro’s pledges for “total peace” through negotiations with guerrillas largely backfired, and a recent wave of terror attacks has stirred memories of the dark days of the 1990s, when cocaine cartels made the South American nation the most violent on Earth.

The key question ahead of Colombia’s March election is whether the conservative opposition can regroup after losing its most popular presidential contender, Senator Miguel Uribe Turbay, who died two months after being gunned down while campaigning in Bogotá.

Among all incumbent leftist leaders whose mandates are expiring, only Brazil’s Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seems to have a fighting chance in next year’s election.

While many Brazilians are disappointed with his government, the veteran politician’s popularity has rebounded since he adopted a nationalist message to defend the country against US President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

With the right apparently on the rise across Latin America, Lula could soon be ploughing a lonely furrow. — Walter Brandimarte

Mourners attend a public funeral service for Miguel Uribe in Bogotá on Aug. 13. Photographer: Fernanda Pineda/Bloomberg

Global Must Reads

Trump called Viktor Orbán following Monday’s talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and European leaders to discuss why the Hungarian prime minister was blocking Ukraine’s European Union accession talks, sources say. Switzerland said it would grant Russian President Vladimir Putin immunity from arrest as part of a proposal to host peace talks on his war on Ukraine.

Rescuers work in Kyiv following a Russian missile strike this month. Photographer: Sergei Supinksy/AFP/Getty Images

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi welcomed improving ties with China as the two sides seek to reset relations amid mounting tariff pressure from Trump. New Delhi is recalibrating its foreign policy by strengthening engagement with Beijing and other members of the BRICS group, and Modi is expected to meet President Xi Jinping this month during his first trip to China in seven years.

The CEOs of the world’s two biggest mining companies, Rio Tinto and BHP, met Trump to discuss the Resolution copper project in Arizona that could supply the US with a quarter of its demand for decades to come. The Trump administration has made the revival of US metals and minerals production a key priority, including copper, a commodity vital for the transition to cleaner energy.

Trump has made clear in recent weeks he’s willing to intervene in corporate matters to further his policy goals, even though he didn’t campaign on it, it wasn’t broached during his first administration and he criticized his predecessor for it. His latest moves, including one that could see the US government become Intel’s largest shareholder, could leave private investors enriched while catapulting national security further ahead of China, but they may also trigger taxpayer losses and distort markets in ways investors can’t predict.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated the US is satisfied with the current tariff status quo with China, a signal the Trump administration is looking to maintain calm before a trade truce expires in November. Meanwhile, Trump’s wider steel and aluminum tariffs announced Friday that affect consumer items like motorcycles and tableware were published yesterday in the Federal Register, though it remains unclear whether they stack on top of country-by-country levies.

Israel’s military is poised to start the call-up of around 60,000 reserve soldiers for an expanded offensive in Gaza against Hamas, according to a government official, even as it readies a response to a new ceasefire proposal.

Israeli soldiers look at destroyed buildings in the Gaza Strip last week. Photographer: Jack Guez/AFP/Getty Images

The top court in Peru — notorious for prosecuting and incarcerating former presidents — severely restricted conducting criminal probes while a head of state is still in office.

The Czech Republic must drop its penchant for “fiscal self-flagellation” in favor of investing in economic growth, a senior official from an opposition party poised to sweep to victory in October elections told us.

Trump ordered the entire southern border wall be painted black to stop migrants from crossing because it’ll be too hot to touch, according to Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem.

Construction on the wall along the US-Mexico border near Sasabe, Arizona. Photographer: Justin Hamel/Bloomberg

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Chart of the Day

China’s broad fiscal spending expanded at the fastest pace in almost three years, pushing the deficit to another record as the government steers an economy grappling with weakening demand and higher tariffs. Faster fiscal stimulus — which includes everything from infrastructure spending to civil servants’ salaries — didn’t translate into quicker economic growth in July, when activities recorded an unexpectedly sharp slowdown.

And Finally

This year, heat, drought and strong winds have caused wildfires in Greece, Turkey, Portugal, Spain and France. Attractions across Europe, including the Acropolis in Athens and the Eiffel Tower in Paris, have been shut due to dangerously high temperatures. Together, surging tourist numbers and the impacts of climate change are putting unprecedented stress on the ecosystems, economies and societies that support the industry, calling into question the business models that have sustained it for decades.

Tourists at Cala d’en Xic, once a remote spot on the Spanish island of Ibiza. Photographer: Maria Contreras Coll/Bloomberg

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