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910,000 jobs is no laughing matter.
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Today’s Agenda

Confusing Numbers

I feel that it is my duty to keep you up to date on the latest numbers. And today, those numbers are 6-7. Not sixty-seven, “six seven,” a meme that is probably on its last legs, considering I’m typing these words in a business publication.

Like most brain-rotted TikTokisms, there is no easy way to explain what 6-7 means. I could tell you that it was first uttered in a song called “Doot Doot” by Skrilla, which has 10 million views on YouTube. I could tell you said song was used in countless edits of pro basketball player LaMelo Ball, who is six feet, seven inches tall. And I could tell you that everyone, from dance teachers to middle school educators, is fighting just to do their jobs while the kids in their orbit go feral over the two numbers.

If none of that is adding up to you, that’s fine. Actually, it’s the point. [1] Sometimes a confusing number is just that: a confusing number. Take the 910,000 jobs the Bureau of Labor Statistics apparently over-counted in the 12 months to March. But unlike the 6-7 meme, few are laughing about the payroll revision, save for the conspiracy theorists and recession doomsayers:

“Counting all the people at work in a country the size of the US isn’t easy,” writes John Authers, but he says the latest chasm in the data “does nothing to salve confidence.” If you recall, the integrity of the BLS has been repeatedly called into question by the Trump administration. Vice President JD Vance said the data has become “useless” and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer thinks the numbers will only add to the qualms around government statistics. But Jonathan Levin says “neither of those interpretations is quite right.”

The simplest takeaway from the revision is that the economy is not doing too hot, and Jonathan says we already knew that: “Few people thought that this labor market was firing on all cylinders ... If anything, the numbers provide some further vindication for the Federal Reserve,” he writes. As for the cooking-the-books-to-make-Trump-look-bad conspiracies, Jonathan says “the Trump administration is setting [the BLS] up as a scapegoat for unfavorable data that may emerge in the coming months.” But in reality, it’s a resource problem: “The statistics bureau remains terminally underfunded, a situation that is only getting worse under the Republican budget.”

Looking at the data, Justin Fox says it’s clear that the post-pandemic jobs boom is over, “but with lots of revisions to come and the unemployment rate — which is derived from a different monthly survey and never revised — making only a slight upward move since Trump took office, it’s too early to conclude that the US economy has landed in a Trump slump.” In other words: Buckle up for more confusing numbers.

Bonus Economic Reading: The Supreme Court just allowed the president to fire a member of the Federal Trade Commission. Is the Fed next? Stephen L. Carter

America’s Cooked and China’s Booked

Elsewhere in confounding figures, here’s a statistic that makes no sense: The federal government sends oil, gas and coal producers around $35 billion in subsidies every. single. year.

In Mark Gongloff’s eyes, it sure looks like the US government is bankrolling fossil-fuel behemoths at a time when the country should be going all-in on clean energy. The “One, Big Beautiful Bill” championed by Trump? Yeah, Mark says that was a $40 billion check written to the industry at the taxpayer’s expense, giving fossil fuel producers the freedom to pump as they please and ruin the planet for the next decade.

Meanwhile in China, David Fickling says Xi Jinping is sitting at the helm of a mean, green, battery-building machine. “Green energy projects are bringing jobs, growth and cheap electricity to the developing world,” he writes. To give you a sense of how booked and busy the country is, he says China’s green-technology industry has committed more than $227 billion in foreign direct investments over the last three years. “That’s roughly the size, adjusted for inflation, of the post-World War II Marshall Plan that cemented the alliance between the US and Europe.” The MARSHALL Plan!!!!

David sees this as Part II of China’s energy transition, Part I being exports of finished products — solar panels, batteries, EVS and the like.

Over the past 20 years, China’s auto sector has ballooned to great heights, employing about 5.6 million people. “Today there are about 150 different brands producing passenger vehicles in China,” Juliana Liu says in her inaugural column for Bloomberg Opinion. But too much growth comes at a cost: “The sector is now looking for new markets because it’s too large and unwieldy at home,” which is exactly what happened a century ago in — you guessed it — the US. Ugh.

Thin on Logic

To me, the most exciting part of Tuesday’s Apple event was that they used an Addison Rae song to introduce the iPhone 17 Pro. Others, though, I suppose were excited to hear about the all-new iPhone Air.

Dave Lee says the 5.64 mm-thick device should placate the critics who say the current slate of iPhones are too thick. “If you can locate any of those critics, please send them to me because I don’t believe they exist. Nor do I believe many consumers will care about thickness when they learn the iPhone Air means sacrificing things they worry about more than any other factor: battery life and a more-capable camera,” he writes.

Then there’s the price. If the iPhone is thinner, shouldn’t it cost less? They shaved more than two millimeters off that bad boy, yet it still costs $999 — $200 more than the more powerful 17. Dave calls it “one of the stranger products Apple has ever released,” right up there with the Vision Pro headset.

“All this leaves the iPhone Air as a niche product, built for those who simply must buy every new Apple product or those wear their jeans too tight (there’s probably plenty of overlap in that particular Venn diagram),” he writes. Tight pants or not, I can’t imagine anyone fitting it in their back pocket with a case like this:

Telltale Chart

Is Luca de Meo ready for his first week at Kering? As the new top dog in charge of Gucci, Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta and others, Andrea Felsted says he now has “the toughest job in luxury.” His new laundry list of to-dos includes reducing the debt, restructuring deals, deciding on projects, thinning bloated executive ranks and getting Kering’s biggest brand — Gucci — back on track. Having jumped from the carmaker Renault into the world of high fashion, he’s walking into a wolves den. “Luxury relies on the visions of designers and marketing spending to stand out in a crowded market,” Andrea explains. Simply slashing costs will not do.

Further Reading

India’s leaders may be furious about tariffs, but they shouldn’t let anger cloud their judgment. — Bloomberg editorial board

The US and Europe should draw at least five lessons from Russia’s warning shot at Poland. — Marc Champion

Outdated screening guidelines have left too many men at risk of prostate cancer. — Lisa Jarvis

Opponents of cash grants to poor families are complicating the debate over the best ways to fight poverty. — Kathryn Anne Edwards

Almost half of LA residents are Hispanic or Latino, and ICE is free to racially profile all of them. — Erika D. Smith

India needed serious tax reform, but what it got was a new rate card. — Andy Mukherjee

The humans who decide the makeup of the S&P 500 want a world driven by algorithms. — Marc Rubinstein

ICYMI

Charlie Kirk was shot in Utah while speaking at an event.

Klarna shares went up after a $1.37 billion IPO.

Kamala Harris’ new book is making a splash.

Larry Ellison replaced Elon Musk on the wealth list.

An unlikely Democrat is going after Texas’s Senate seat.

Kickers

Utah locals aren’t a fan of Ballerina Farm’s store.

80,000 tweens went wild for a skin-care launch.

The bumpy snailfish is stealing hearts.

The Justice Department is selling a 348-foot yacht.

Two reality TV worlds are merging for love.

Notes: Please send a $100 million yacht and feedback to Jessica Karl at jkarl9@bloomberg.net.

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[1] For millennials reading this, the 6-7 craze may remind you of