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Daily News Brief

September 12, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering the conviction of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, as well as...

  • A U.S.-mediated prisoner release in Belarus
  • Israel’s plans for new West Bank settlements
  • EU-India trade talks
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Brazil’s top court yesterday convicted former President Jair Bolsonaro of plotting a coup in a case that has put it at odds with the Trump administration. Bolsonaro was sentenced to more than twenty-seven years in prison for what the court ruled was a plot to stay in power after losing the 2022 election. Bolsonaro’s circle has long sought close relations with Donald Trump, and Washington has already imposed tariffs and sanctions on Brazilian goods and individuals over the case, calling it a “witch hunt.” Yesterday, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio vowed an unspecified U.S. response to the ruling. 

 

The details. 

  • Four judges on a five-judge panel endorsed accusations by Brazil’s attorney general that Bolsonaro led a plan to undermine the 2022 vote that included claiming election fraud and empowering the military. The case was based on a police investigation and witness interviews. Bolsonaro denied the charges and said he meant to act constitutionally. His lawyers said they plan to appeal and seek a vote by the full bench of eleven justices.
  • While Brazil has experienced multiple coups and a military dictatorship from 1964–1985, no one had previously been sentenced for coup charges. 

 

The fallout. 

  • The 50 percent tariffs on certain Brazilian goods and U.S. sanctions on some of the courts’ judges have already soured bilateral relations, though some sectors were exempted from tariffs following urging from private firms.
  • Trump told reporters yesterday that he was “very unhappy” about the ruling, but did not respond when asked if it would lead to new sanctions. 
  • Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has said he is open to dialogue with Washington on some issues, but that he cannot interfere in the case as Brazil’s judiciary is independent.
  • Brazil’s foreign ministry wrote yesterday on social media: “Threats like the one made today by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio” will not “intimidate our democracy.”
 
 

“In attempting to bully Brazilian authorities into letting Bolsonaro escape justice, the Trump administration is abandoning nearly four decades of U.S. policy toward Latin America. After the end of the Cold War, U.S. administrations were fairly consistent in their defense of democracy in Latin America… Now, in a move that evokes some of America’s most anti-democratic Cold War interventions, the United States is trying to subvert one of Latin America’s most important democracies.”

—CFR expert Steven Levitsky and Johns Hopkins’ Filipe Campante, the New York Times

 

The U.S. Strike Near Venezuela

The USS Sampson, a U.S. Navy missile destroyer, docks at the Amador International Cruise Terminal in Panama City, Panama, September 2, 2025.

Daniel Gonzalez/Anadolu/Getty

The recent deployment and strike represent a major escalation in the U.S. government’s fight against drug trafficking, which has traditionally relied on the interdiction of vessels suspected of transporting drugs, CFR International Affairs Fellow Roxanna Vigil writes in this Expert Brief.

 
 

Across the Globe

Belarus prisoner release. The country’s authorities released fifty-two political prisoners to Lithuania yesterday as part of a U.S.-brokered deal, Lithuania’s government said. A U.S. envoy said that Washington would lift sanctions on Belarus’s national airline in return. Belarus has sought to improve its relations with the United States since last year and has pitched itself as a channel of dialogue between Washington and Moscow.

 

Netanyahu’s West Bank escalation. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu signed plans yesterday to expand a settlement that would cut across the West Bank, saying “there will be no Palestinian state.” In the past, Israel had avoided moving forward with the plan, known as E1, amid international condemnation. Meanwhile, Germany is now among the countries expected to back a France-led proposal for a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian crisis, unnamed sources told multiple news outlets. 

 

Green investments ruling. The General Court at the European Court of Justice ruled yesterday that natural gas and nuclear energy projects can be considered “green” investments, rejecting a lawsuit by Austria that sought to change the classification. Burning natural gas still causes greenhouse gas emissions, while nuclear energy requires mining and processing uranium. The European Union has set a target of becoming climate neutral by 2050.

 

Venezuelan pushback on strike. Venezuela’s interior minister said yesterday that nobody killed by the U.S. military in a strike off Venezuela’s coast last week belonged to the Tren de Aragua gang, contradicting the Trump administration’s claims. While Rubio said the boat posed an “immediate threat” to the United States, unnamed U.S. officials told multiple news outlets this week that the boat had turned around at the time that it was struck.

 

EU-India trade talks. Top European Union (EU) trade officials arrived in India yesterday for late-stage negotiations on an agreement to boost trade. The visit comes as the United States plans to ask Group of Seven (G7) countries in a virtual meeting today to increase tariffs on India and China as a way of pressuring their economic ties to Russia, according to unnamed sources in the Financial Times.

 

UN on Qatar strike. The UN Security Council’s fifteen members agreed to a statement yesterday that condemned Israel’s Tuesday strikes in Doha that targeted Hamas officials. The statement did not name Israel but voiced support for “the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Qatar.” Qatar’s prime minister is in Washington today for talks with U.S. officials.

 

U.S.-South Korea visa talks. The two countries are discussing the creation of new visas that could apply to South Koreans temporarily working in the United States, South Korea’s foreign minister said following a dispute over the Trump administration’s raid of a Hyundai plant in Georgia last week. Today, around three hundred workers detained in the raid returned to South Korea. 


Iran’s uranium stockpile. Hundreds of kilograms of fissile material is still located underneath the sites of facilities bombed in June by the United States and Israel, Iran’s foreign minister said yesterday. He added that UN nuclear inspectors were assessing whether they could access it. International sanctions on Iran are due to take effect at the end of this month if it does not address concerns about its nuclear fuel.

 
 

Faith-Based Sustainability Leadership

United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres delivers a statement during the opening of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) Summit 2023, at UN headquarters in New York City, New York, U.S., September 2023.

Mike Segar/Reuters

Religious communities can help improve progress toward the UN Sustainable Development Goals. United World Colleges’ Musimbi Kanyoro and Georgetown University’s Olivia Wilkinson discussed how at this CFR webinar.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari begins a visit to China.
  • Today, China’s foreign minister begins a visit to Austria, Slovenia, and Poland.
  • Sunday, the 77th Primetime Emmy Awards are held in Los Angeles. 
  • Sunday, the main day of voting occurs for regional elections in Russia.
 
 

A Career in Countering Extremism 

Farah Pandith

Photo collage by Lucky Benson, Photo: Jimell Greene

The lessons Senior Fellow Farah Pandith learned while spearheading new initiatives to counter violent extremism in both Democratic and Republican governments apply as much as ever to today’s challenges, she told CFR’s Ivana Saric for this article.

 
 

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