Australia Briefing
Good morning and happy Friday all. It’s Paul-Alain Hunt here in the Melbourne bureau. The ASX looks set for a sluggish start this morning, b
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Good morning and happy Friday all. It’s Paul-Alain Hunt here in the Melbourne bureau. The ASX looks set for a sluggish start this morning, but first...

Today’s must-reads:
• New housing podcast
• RBA’s super warning 
OpenAI vs SpaceX

What's happening now

Australia’s housing market is running hot again. Values are rising at their fastest pace in nearly two years, fueled by rate cuts and ahead of fresh government support for first-home buyers. In the latest Bloomberg Australia Podcast, Chris Bourke speaks with economist James McIntyre about the forces driving prices higher, the outlook for further rate cuts, and why the supply crunch is likely to keep pressure on both buyers and renters. 

Subscribe to The Bloomberg Australia Podcast on Apple, Spotify, on YouTube, or wherever you listen.

The vast scale of Australia’s rapidly expanding pension funds means they could amplify stress in the event of a severe market-wide liquidity disruption, the Reserve Bank has warned. Meanwhile, household spending came in weaker than expected in August, adding to the case for the RBA to resume policy easing as soon as next month.

Australian asset manager IFM Investors will wind down its domestic private equity unit in coming years, citing a lack of scale to make it commercially viable and a focus on other global priorities. 

ChatGPT’s parent company OpenAI completed a deal to help employees sell shares in the company at a $500 billion valuation, according to people familiar with the deal. That’s propelled it to become more valuable than Elon Musk’s SpaceX, claiming the crown as the world’s most valuable startup. 

The fight is on. Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg

What happened overnight

Here’s what my colleague, market strategist Mike “Willo” Wilson, says happened while we were sleeping…

US stocks edged higher, driven by tech companies. Moves were tempered and Treasuries rose as talks around thousands of Federal workers being laid off continued. Oil fell to the lowest in nearly five months on expectation OPEC+ is going to restore previously idled supply. The Aussie, kiwi and the dollar consolidated. That should continue into the weekend given the bare economic calendar locally and US jobs data likely being a non-starter due to the government shutdown. ASX futures point to a staid opening for local equities.

The European Union plans to hike tariffs on its steel imports to 50%, according to a draft proposal seen by Bloomberg. The move will align the bloc’s rate with the US, which has sought to push back against overcapacity from China. It comes amid an increasingly volatile time for iron ore — Australia’s biggest resource export — and uncertainty over China’s steel market. 

The hunt for winners in the AI gold rush has landed on Caterpillar, an old-line industrial equipment maker, as investors bet AI's demand for electricity will fuel orders for its power-generation turbines. The iconic US company, known for its yellow excavators and bulldozers that feature across Australian mines, closed September at an all-time high.

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway reached a deal to buy Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s petrochemical business for about $9.7 billion in cash. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter. Occidental plans to use a vast amount of the cash to pay down debt. 

What to watch

• Nothing major scheduled.

One more thing...

A high-stakes rivalry is playing out over a vast but vulnerable web of underwater cables that carry nearly all global internet traffic. With enough undersea fiber to stretch to the moon and back — twice — the US and China are racing not just to protect these cables but to control them. Washington is shutting China out of its networks, while Beijing expands its own “Digital Silk Road.”

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