Modern Money SmartBrief
Plus, Polymarket US return scheduled for Nov.
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October 29, 2025
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Fed expected to cut rates
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point, moving it to the 3.75%-4.00% range. The rate cut aims to address persistent job market concerns and maintain economic stability as hiring slows and inflation remains subdued.
Full Story: The Wall Street Journal (10/29), CNBC (10/28), Reuters (10/29)
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Hedge funds cite antitrust law in distressed debt lawsuit
Manulife's CQS, Algebris Funds and Deltroit Asset Management have filed a lawsuit in New York, invoking antitrust laws to challenge a debt restructuring involving Swiss vending machine operator Selecta. The lawsuit claims that a cooperation agreement among majority bondholders, including Invesco and Man Group, unfairly excluded minority holders from economic benefits.
Full Story: Financial Times (10/29)
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Trump, Xi to discuss major deal at S. Korea meeting
President Donald Trump is set to relaunch engagement with China, starting with a framework agreement reached by top trade negotiators during talks this past weekend. The agreement, which is expected to be finalized during a meeting Thursday between Trump and President Xi Jinping, is expected to include China resuming soybean purchases and delaying controls on rare-earth minerals in exchange for the US delaying new tariffs and possibly rolling back a 20% levy related to the fentanyl crisis.
Full Story: Bloomberg (10/29), Al Jazeera (10/29), The Wall Street Journal (10/28)
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Unprepared for AI: The Retail Transformation
AI is transforming retail, but most retailers are unprepared. Join EPAM, Stripe, and commercetools on November 12 at 12 PM EST to learn how AI is redefining the shopper journey and why composability is key to responsible adoption. Register now to build an AI-ready commerce foundation.
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Polymarket US return scheduled for Nov.
Polymarket is preparing a limited US relaunch focused on sports betting, with trading expected to begin by the end of November. The timing aligns with peak football and basketball seasons, aiming to capture increased market activity. The company is currently operating a waitlist for interested users as it finalizes the US platform.
Full Story: CoinDesk (UK) (10/28), PYMNTS (10/28), Bloomberg (10/28)
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Powell's remarks could end Treasurys' low volatility period
Treasurys have seen a significant drop in volatility recently, but investors are eyeing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming news conference for potential changes. With policymakers divided on interest rates amid a softening labor market and persistent inflation, any hawkish comments from Powell could push 10-year yields above 4%.
Full Story: Bloomberg (10/29)
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Truth Social plans prediction market with Crypto.com
Trump Media & Technology Group is partnering with Crypto.com to launch Truth Predict, a prediction market on Truth Social that will allow users to bet on events such as elections and sports. The initiative, which is set to begin beta testing soon, will compete with platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Full Story: Gizmodo (10/28)
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AI earnings growth eases bubble concerns
A stronger earnings outlook for artificial intelligence companies is easing concerns that the AI-driven global equity rally is a bubble. SK Hynix and Advantest have reported robust earnings, reflecting increased demand, while Nvidia has surged more than 8.5% in Asia after President Donald Trump said he would discuss Nvidia's Blackwell chip with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
Full Story: Bloomberg (10/29)
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AI Apps: 70+ pages of data viz & insights
Successfully navigate the impacts of AI on your app with these exclusive insights. State of AI Apps 2025 gives you the intelligence to speak with fluency on audience shifts, ASO, and the ad trends shaping the future. Get the guide.
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Data, Data and More Data
 
 
Nvidia approaches historic $5T valuation
Financial Times (10/29)
 
 
Copper hits record high on US-China trade deal hopes, supply issues
Bloomberg (10/29)
 
 
Bond investors split on AI's long-term impact on rates
Risk (subscription required) (10/29)
 
Building Lasting Value in Banking
Banks must ignite change by breaking past norms to transform client delivery and experience. Dive into this dynamic infographic to see how AWS's cloud, AI/ML, and gen AI are catalysts in reshaping the industry. Embrace the future: view the infographic
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Daily Diversion
 
"Dinosaur mummies" with skin, hooves found in Wyoming
Paleontologists have rediscovered Edmontosaurus annectens skeletons from eastern Wyoming that are so exceptionally preserved, they include remnants of skin, spikes, and hooves. These "dinosaur mummies" allow scientists to reconstruct features of the extinct species with remarkable detail, revealing the first known subadult dinosaur mummy and the earliest tetrapod with hooved feet.
Full Story: ABC News (10/27)
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