SmartBrief on Risk and Compliance sponsored by Bloomberg
Truth Social plans prediction market with Crypto.com
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October 30, 2025
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Top Stories
 
Fed to end balance sheet reduction
The Federal Reserve announced it will end its balance sheet runoff on December 1, shifting from reducing its Treasury holdings to maintaining their current level by rolling over maturing securities. This marks an earlier-than-expected conclusion to quantitative tightening, as the Fed has observed signs of tightening liquidity and declining reserve levels in money markets.
Full Story: Bloomberg (10/29), Reuters (10/29)
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Retail-aimed structured products opening opportunities
Retail trading through exchange-traded and structured products has transformed options markets, increasing liquidity and creating opportunities for hedge funds and large traders to profit from market dislocations, experts say. "We're able to get in and out of huge positions that we could never have done 10 years ago because of this kind of flow," says Benn Eifert, co-chief investment officer and head of multi-strategy at QVR Advisors.
Full Story: Bloomberg (10/29)
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US banks could unlock $112B by dropping Method 2 surcharge
Eliminating the Federal Reserve's Method 2 for calculating G-Sib surcharges would significantly reduce capital requirements for major US banks. Seven of the eight US G-Sibs would benefit, unlocking a total of $111.6 billion in capital.
Full Story: Risk (subscription required) (10/29)
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Modernize the Trade Lifecycle
Today's leading firms lean into diverse data sets to meet and surpass goals. Dive into this interactive infographic detailing AI & ML automation for trading moves and risk controls, infrastructure scaling for massive data, and supercharging post-trade workflows for accelerated settlements. Check it out.
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Bloomberg Insights
 
Box-spread loans emerge as low-cost financing for investors
Box-spread loans, once a tool for hedge funds, are gaining popularity among wealthy investors as a cost-effective alternative to traditional bank credit. SyntheticFi co-founder Tony Yang used the strategy to fund a home purchase at a 1.6% interest rate, and the fintech now helps others do the same. However, the strategy carries risks, as a market downturn could lead to margin calls and forced liquidation of portfolios.
Full Story: Bloomberg (10/29)
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Crypto ETFs debut despite SEC shutdown
Several new exchange-traded funds targeting smaller cryptocurrencies, including the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF and funds linked to Litecoin and Hedera's HBAR, launched this week despite the ongoing government shutdown. While issuers aim to carve out a niche among altcoins, the oversaturation of crypto ETFs could make it challenging for new entrants focusing on lesser-known tokens to capture substantial investor inflows.
Full Story: Bloomberg (10/28), Markets Media (10/28)
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Fed portfolio plans put swap spread trade at crossroads
Bloomberg (10/28)
 
 
Ex-FTX US chief aims to bring perpetual futures to stocks
Bloomberg (10/29)
 
Europe's next phase of repo clearing
As Euronext Clearing expands repo services across European sovereigns and supranationals, discover efficient margining, cross-margining benefits, triparty connectivity, and buy side access through innovative sponsored models. Learn More.
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Trading Trends
 
Bond investors split on AI's long-term impact on rates
Bond investors are divided on the long-term effects of artificial intelligence on interest rates, with some predicting higher rates due to increased economic growth and capital expenditure, while others expect deflationary effects from productivity gains. The timing and magnitude of AI's influence remain unclear, with factors like government debt and demographic shifts further complicating forecasts.
Full Story: Risk (subscription required) (10/29)
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Truth Social plans prediction market with Crypto.com
Trump Media & Technology Group is partnering with Crypto.com to launch Truth Predict, a prediction market on Truth Social that will allow users to bet on events such as elections and sports. The initiative, which is set to begin beta testing soon, will compete with platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Full Story: Gizmodo (10/28)
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Over half of buy-side eyeing pre-hedging detection mechanisms
The Trade (UK) (10/28)
 
The Future of Retail: What's Coming in 2026
AI personalization and seamless customer experiences defined 2025, but the retail landscape is about to shift again. Join us on November 5th for a fast-paced webinar where industry experts reveal the top trends and technologies shaping 2026. Discover how to stay ahead, boost productivity, and deliver next-level shopping experiences. Register now!
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