Chicago Bears Insider newsletter
Column: Ben Johnson predicted Chicago Bears will play their best ball in December. 6 reasons he may be right. • 4 things we learned from the Chicago Bears, including why the NFC lead ‘doesn’t mean anything’
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Chicago Bears Insider

Thursday, December 4, 2025

Good evening, Chicago.

Yes, some random factors have gone into Caleb Williams’ inaccuracy, but it’s hard to explain away his 33rd-ranked completion percentage (58.1%) among qualified passers, per NFL Pro’s Next Gen Stats. (The NFL’s Game Statistics & Information System ranks him 27th among qualifiers.)

To truly judge accuracy, on-target pass percentage is a better metric than completion percentage because it filters out spikes and throwaways and drills into whether a pass is catchable.

Bears quarterback Caleb Williams passes against the Eagles in the second quarter Nov. 28, 2025, at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. (Brian Cassella/Chicago Tribune)

Williams’ career-best on-target pass percentage of 95.7%, according to sports-reference.com’s Stathead, came last season against the Packers in the season finale at Lambeau Field.

In fact, only one of Williams’ top 10 performances in that category occurred this season: 76.7% during the 52-21 blowout loss in Week 2 in Detroit. For the season, just over two out of every three passes Williams has thrown (67.3%) has been on target.

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