Making big predictions requires a thick skin. Each year we publish a future-gazing supplement called The World Ahead; this year we looked back at what we got wrong and right about 2025. A group of “superforecasters” at Good Judgment, a forecasting organisation, have put numerical odds on some possible outcomes in 2026. Find out their predictions.

One safe call is that Warren Buffett, who turned a struggling textile-maker into one of the greatest successes in the history of business, will retire from that company, Berkshire Hathaway, on December 31st. His successor is not a stock-picker, but his investing talent will be put to the test.