While the Fed left rates unchanged (as expected) a hawkish dot plot has traders bracing themselves for a rate hike this year.

Your Evening Briefing

June 17, 2026

Stocks fall after new Fed Chair Warsh’s first policy meeting as traders worry about a rate hike

The Federal Reserve voted to keep rates unchanged at a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, as was universally expected. However, stocks dropped as the release removed any hints of an easing bias and the Fed’s dot plot came out on the hawkish side.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and every Magnificent 7 stock traded lower. Every S&P 500 sector fell, with communications leading losses.

Stocks that moved higher:

  • Allbirds surged as its AI pivot continued to pay off, with the company announcing a corporate name change and new CEO hire.
  • Figma climbed after Citi initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $36 price target.

Stocks that moved lower:

  • CarMax fell despite beating on earnings and revenue, but reported reported margin pressure and falling per-unit gross profit. Carvana also fell on the news.
  • Snap fell after unveiling “Specs,” a $2,195 pair of augmented reality glasses, raising questions about consumer demand at that price point.

Prediction markets have, predictably, been given a boost by the summer of sports

The World Cup and finals in the NBA and NHL have been a boon for the biggest platforms in the game. Read more.

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The race to influence AI chatbots is leading to some companies to adopt shady competitive tactics.

Read more.

  • Despite slight declines, Japanese tourism figures are still hovering around record highs
    Tourism: Still big in Japan.
 

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