Crunching the numbers behind One Nation's immigration plan

AU Edition - Today's top story: How would One Nation's immigration plan affect the labour market and economy?

September 16, 2026

AU Edition

 

One Nation this week said it wants to reduce the number of temporary migrants in Australia by more than 760,000 over three years – and the reaction from business and employer groups was swift.

The Business Council of Australia warned the plan “risks holding back economic growth”, while the Australian Industry Group said it “risks severe economic self harm at a time when we are already bedevilled by significant labour and skills shortages.”

Why?

Today, Professor Ly Tran, who researches international students and international graduate employability, unpacks what’s been proposed – and how cutting the number of international students and graduates living in Australia may affect Australia’s labour market and broader economy.

 

Sunanda Creagh

Senior Editor

 
 
 

How would One Nation’s immigration plan affect the labour market and economy?

Ly Tran, Deakin University

Reducing the number of people on student and graduate visas may reduce migration numbers, but it could also weaken demand for Australian goods and services.

More than 2 million Indigenous people lived in Australia in 1788: new research

Corey J. A. Bradshaw, Flinders University; Alan N Williams, James Cook University; Lynette Russell, Monash University; Sean Ulm, James Cook University; Shane Ingrey, UNSW

Genetic, archaeological and environmental evidence suggest the Indigenous population fell by more than 90% in the 70 years after the British invaded.

Why Sydney Sweeney’s controversial advert goes beyond sexualising women’s sport

Vivienne Lewis, University of Canberra

The discussion surrounding the American actor’s ad raises bigger questions about the attention placed on women’s bodies, not just in sport.

Hanson ‘regrets’ hurt caused by remark about ‘primitive’ First Nations people

Michelle Grattan, University of Canberra

After facing a barrage of criticism for her comments, the One Nation leader says it was not her intention to cause hurt.

Bluster and betrayal: Paul Barry probes how steel tycoon Sanjeev Gupta hoodwinked the powerful

Denis Muller, The University of Melbourne

Amid news that 500 jobs will go at the Whyalla steelworks, once owned by Gupta’s GFG Alliance, The Big Steal is a powerful – and timely – work of journalism.

Bird flu has claimed its first Australian sea lion and dolphin. How does the virus get into these animals?

Bill Bateman, Curtin University

How does a dolphin or seal even get bird flu? Most likely through contact with sick birds – or eating their carcasses.

Australia’s data centre build-out carries risks for the economy – and inflation

Jak Kakhkharov, Australian Catholic University

The rush to build data centres brings investment and the promise of a sophisticated digital economy. But it also creates new pressure on housing and skilled workers.

Incorporation law gave Big Tech state-like power. Can it now help rein it in?

Susan Watson, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau

Governments can curb corporate power. But first we need to understand how corporate law allows private ventures to accumulate power that can endure for generations.

Is pasta a type of noodle? The surprisingly serious debate over two beloved carbs

Dianne Ma, Auckland University of Technology

Like many food debates, this one is tangled up in culture, history and power.

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Your Say

Regarding your article ‘Five years into AUKUS, what do we have to show for it? We’ve measured progress on three key metrics’, the projected public cost of AUKUS could, in my view, be far better directed towards reducing poverty in Australia, yet our elected representatives have committed to acquiring nuclear-powered, conventionally armed submarines at enormous cost. During COVID, welfare payments were substantially increased so people could better afford essentials, but those increases did not last. It is evident to me that our political parties are not sufficiently serving the people, leaving me to question whether greater use of referendums could provide a truer democracy based more directly on the will of the majority rather than the influence of lobbyists.

Steve Bentley Camira QLD
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Yesterday’s article ‘1 in 3 uni students experience serious financial hardship. Could concession cards for all help?’ prompted two thoughts: first, there is no right to a university education. It’s a choice like many others in life and one to be made taking account of the realities of living it. Second, the article says the objective is to raise tertiary qualifications from 60% to 80%. I’m wondering how such a goal benefits our society. There are significant employment needs currently in childcare, aged care, agriculture (i.e. harvesting the food), logistics, transport and construction. I don’t know that any of those necessarily require tertiary qualifications, particularly university qualifications.

Joanne Blackburn
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