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POLITICO Playbook

By Eugene Daniels, Rachael Bade and Ryan Lizza

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With help from Eli Okun, Garrett Ross and Bethany Irvine

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DRIVING THE DAY

OVERNIGHT MILESTONE — The midnight deadline having passed, it’s now officially too late to remove scandal-plagued Republican gubernatorial candidate and Lt. Gov. MARK ROBINSON from North Carolina’s ballots. More below on the eye-popping allegations

THE ELECTION IS NOW — In-person early voting starts today in Minnesota, South Dakota and Virginia.

THE MAN WHO WOULD BE AG — Adam Wren’s profile of MIKE DAVIS — the conservative lawyer and Twitter pugilist who some in DONALD TRUMP’s inner orbit want to see as the next attorney general — is worth reading in its entirety.

One scene we can’t shake, at a Republican Convention afterparty: “‘I want you to be my father’s attorney general for all four years,” [DON JR.] told Davis, grinning. …

“As I pecked notes on my phone, the woman who had told us to stop staring scolded me for chronicling the exchange and began recording me. She demanded that I delete the notes or give her my phone. When I tried to leave, she recruited four men to block the elevators. They stared menacingly at me and demanded I turn over my phone or delete my notes. … I explained to the woman I had to catch a flight to go home to my family in the next few hours. ‘You should have thought about your kids before you did what you did,’ she replied.

“After roughly 15 minutes of this standoff, I searched for another exit. I ran down a hallway into a stairwell. Two people followed me. When I was out on the street, Davis called me. By this point, Davis had confronted the aide near the elevators and dressed her down. …

“Davis had sworn to me he was not really serious about retaliating against journalists and throwing them in ‘gulags.’ Now, he seemed rattled that others in Trumpworld might not be in on the joke.”

Brian Fallon, senior advisor to Kamala Harris, participates in an interview.

Brian Fallon has been instrumental in some of the biggest left-of-center messaging campaigns of the last decade | Alex Keeney/POLITICO

THE PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: BRIAN FALLON — VP KAMALA HARRIS’ abbreviated campaign has meant, in effect, that she’s had to build the plane while flying. And one of the chief engineers of that effort — one of her most trusted aides de camp — is Brian Fallon.

You may not know him by name, but you probably know his work. Whether as a top aide to CHUCK SCHUMER or HILLARY CLINTON or, more recently, as cofounder of court-reform group Demand Justice, Fallon has been instrumental in some of the biggest left-of-center messaging campaigns of the last decade — culminating in his work this year crafting a presidential effort unlike any other.

Yesterday, we sat down with him to talk through some of the biggest dynamics shaping Harris’ campaign. You can find the full interview on this morning’s episode of “Playbook Deep Dive,” but what follows are key excerpts, edited for length and clarity.

On their path to victory in battleground states: “We're truly competing to win everywhere. And we're probably spending more time in Pennsylvania than anywhere else. … She's campaigning in rural parts of the commonwealth. She's campaigning in red counties where we could expect Trump to win, but eating into his margin might be the difference in winning statewide. … She was in Savannah, Georgia, a couple of weeks ago. … We're going to go to markets and we're going to go to interior counties and we're going to go to red, red parts of the map where a Democrat might not win. But it serves two purposes to go there: One is you can erode the margin of victory, which could help translate to a statewide victory. But second, it also sends an important message symbolically that you're campaigning everywhere, that you're trying to be a president for all Americans. … That'll continue to be a feature of her campaign schedule in the weeks to come.”

On whether they’re worried about turning off young liberals by touting the support of Republicans like LIZ and DICK CHENEY: “We're not seeing that empirically. We're not seeing that in the data. … We're not seeing that we're suffering in terms of erosion from core supporters because of the fact that she's embracing support from across the aisle. But also, I think another reason why we don't expect that to be a concern is because … she isn’t abandoning core principles or beliefs. … [T]hey agree on the important things, which is: preserving our democracy, that Donald Trump is temperamentally unfit to be president of the United States, and that we should not be bowing down to foreign dictators like VLADIMIR PUTIN.”

On whether he thinks that Republican support of Harris will last: “If she wins, I fully expect that in the first 100 days, we'll go back to arguing about exactly how to ensure common sense gun safety rules and … how we're going to handle the expiration of the Trump tax cuts.”

PBDD quote card

On one thing they’re not ruling out: “We still think we might get another debate. … He has a hard time turning down an opportunity to appear in front of that many people.”

On the hubbub about Harris’ lack of high-profile interviews: “People should not read too much into what some have described as a shortage or a lack of interviews in the first, like, six weeks of the campaign.”

On Harris’ changing views on key issues since 2019: “In that campaign and in that period of time, the Democratic Party … wanted to stand in stark contrast to Donald Trump and outlined positions that showed the depth of our disagreement with Donald Trump. … I think that these were statements reflecting strongly held values that not just she but other Democrats at the time held. But then when you're in it, when you're in the role of governing, you have to make good-faith efforts to try to achieve progress. And, oftentimes, that requires working with people across the aisle.”

Listen to the full interview on Apple Podcasts or Spotify

AN AHA MOMENT — Last night, Harris campaigned with OPRAH WINFREY in Farmington Hills, Michigan, as The Detroit News’ Craig Mauger and Jennifer Chambers recap. In one striking moment talking about her gun ownership, Harris said that if somebody breaks into her house, “they’re getting shot.”

Happy Friday. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza.

 

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YOWZA — “New Court Filings Place Matt Gaetz at a Party at the Center of the Sex Trafficking Scandal,” by NOTUS’ Jose Pagliery: “Rep. MATT GAETZ attended a drug-fueled sex party in 2017 with the 17-year-old girl at the center of the alleged sex trafficking scandal, according to legal documents filed to a Florida federal court shortly before midnight Thursday, which cite sealed affidavits from three eye-witness testimonies. … [She] was a junior in high school … Gaetz did not immediately respond to a request for comment.”

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Sen. ROGER MARSHALL (R-Kan.) has charged taxpayers for multiple flights to and from Sarasota, Florida, where he has a vacation home and two of his adult children live, in a possible violation of Senate rules, Daniel Lippman reports.

In expense reports he has filed to the secretary of the Senate and receipts provided by his office, Marshall charged his office for eight trips that included stops in Sarasota or nearby Bradenton and Tampa in 2021, 2022 and 2023 that totaled nearly $4,500.

His 2019 disclosure said that he purchased a vacation house in Sarasota, with his latest disclosure still showing his ownership of the same house. In 2021, Marshall’s daughter and her husband bought a $1.2 million house in Sarasota, and Marshall’s son and wife bought a house in Sarasota the following year, according to property records.

Senators may only be reimbursed for expenses that are “essential to the transaction of official business while away from the official station or post of duty,” according to Senate rules.

Marshall spokesperson CHARYSSA PARENT did not answer repeated questions on what official business was occurring in the Sarasota area that justified the expenses, but said in a statement that noted his 10 committees or subcommittees: “Any official travel logged over the last 4 years has been official travel. Senator Marshall serves on many committees of jurisdiction that take him all over the country.”

“Given his personal interest and family interest in Sarasota, Florida, there is reasonable suspicion that he is abusing taxpayer dollars for personal travel,” said CRAIG HOLMAN, a lobbyist for the good-government group Public Citizen. “It is something that the Senate Ethics Committee should take a close look at.”

 

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WHAT'S HAPPENING TODAY

On the Hill

The House will meet at 9 a.m. to take up multiple bills, including an effort to roll back the Biden administration’s tailpipe emissions rule and a presidential security bill, with votes at 10:30 a.m.

The Senate is out.

3 things to watch …

  1. The glide path to averting a government shutdown is now in sight: Senate Majority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER yesterday started the process of moving a continuing resolution, but it appears as though Speaker MIKE JOHNSON is acknowledging reality and preparing to have the House move first. Our colleagues on the Hill team report that appropriators are eyeing a CR expiring on Dec. 13. Some funding add-ons — for the Service Service, veterans health care and disaster aid — might be included; the GOP noncitizen voting bill known as the SAVE Act will not.
  2. A second House discharge petition has succeeded this Congress: Yesterday the 218th member signed on to force a vote on the Social Security Fairness Act, a bill that would eliminate provisions that reduce benefits for some retirees receiving government pensions. It’s a win for Reps. GARRET GRAVES (R-La.) and ABIGAIL SPANBERGER (D-Va.), but it's a costly one: The CBO recently estimated it would add $195 billion to the deficit over the coming decade.
  3. The Senate will likely spend its last session week before the election dealing with the CR and processing nominations. What it won’t be doing is passing the bipartisan railroad safety bill that is supported by, among others, Ohio Sens. SHERROD BROWN (D) and JD VANCE (R). As the Washington Examiner’s David Sivak reports, the bill appears stuck in election-year mud, with sponsors unable to grow their GOP support as Brown fights for a fourth term.

At the White House

Biden will convene his Cabinet for a meeting at 11:30 a.m., with first lady JILL BIDEN joining at the top for an update on the White House Initiative on Women’s Health Research. Biden will travel later to Wilmington, Delaware, where he’ll meet with Australian PM ANTHONY ALBANESE at 4:45 p.m.

On the trail

Harris will travel to Atlanta for a campaign event at 3:20 p.m., where she plans to highlight Georgia women who have died due to the state’s abortion ban. Then she’ll head to Madison, Wisconsin, for a campaign event at 7:30 p.m. Eastern, and then back to Washington.

 
PLAYBOOK READS

ALL POLITICS

North Carolina Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson speaks before Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Asheville, N.C., Wednesday, Aug. 14, 2024. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

Stunning reporting from CNN reveals GOP Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson made lewd comments a decade ago on an online message board. | Matt Rourke/AP Photo

WHAT’S THAT YOU SAY, MR. ROBINSON? — CNN’s Andrew Kaczynski and Em Steck upended the North Carolina gubernatorial race yesterday with stunning reporting on GOP Lt. Gov. MARK ROBINSON’s comments from a decade ago on an online message board. He denies making these comments, but the conventional wisdom is that they may be career-ending: Robinson called himself a “black NAZI,” said he wished that slavery would return so he could buy slaves, called himself a “perv” who likes watching transgender pornography and recounted spying on women in public showers as a teenager. And so much more, much of it too graphic for CNN to print. Robinson and the North Carolina GOP are doubling down, insisting that he won’t drop out and claiming that the allegations are untrue.

With the election approaching rapidly, Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted its race rating to likely Democratic. Many North Carolina Republicans expressed revulsion if the reporting is true. Natalie Allison adds that Robinson’s email address was found registered on cheating site Ashley Madison, and that Trump’s internal polling has Robinson down by 14 points.

More top reads:

  • Good poll for Republicans: Inside Elections/Noble Predictive finds Rep. RYAN ZINKE (R-Mont.) ahead by 4 points — and Democratic Sen. JON TESTER leading by only 1 in the district, which is likely a lot less than he’d need to survive.
  • Good poll for Democrats: Morning Consult has Democratic Rep. COLIN ALLRED leading Republican Sen. TED CRUZ by 1 point in the Texas Senate race.
  • Ratings changes: Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted Reps. MARY PELTOLA’s (D-Alaska) and MICHELLE STEEL’s (R-Calif.) reelection bids into tossup territory, while Rep. KATIE PORTER’s (D-Calif.) open seat and Rep. MIKE LAWLER’s (R-N.Y.) district moved out of tossup and toward the parties that hold them.

TRUMP CARDS

THE TRUMP TRIALS — In his federal criminal election subversion case, Trump’s legal team said in a filing last night that “he plans to prove *all* official conduct by presidents is immune from prosecution and that the Supreme Court has effectively made the Mike Pence pressure campaign off limits,” Kyle Cheney reports.

CONGRESS

COMING THURSDAY — “Trump assassination attempt task force to hold first hearing,” by Nick Wu

 

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2024 WATCH

FILE - In this Tuesday, Nov. 24, 2020, file, photo, Cobb County Election officials prepare for a recount of ballots in Marietta, Ga. The Georgia State Election Board is asking a judge to order Texas-based True the Vote group, a conservative voting organization, to produce information to help investigate its claims of ballot trafficking in the state. In the court filing Tuesday, July 11, 2023,the state attorney general’s office asked a Fulton County
 Superior Court judge to order True the Vote to comply with its subpoena. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart)

A proposal to mandate hand-counting of all ballots could majorly slow the reporting of results in Georgia. | Mike Stewart/AP Photo

DEMOCRACY WATCH — All eyes will be on Georgia today as the state election board, newly controlled by Trump allies, considers a suite of wide-ranging election rules changes, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution’s Mark Niesse previews. Among the most significant of the last-minute potential changes is a proposal to mandate hand-counting of all ballots, which could majorly slow the reporting of results. It could echo 2020, when extremely slow counting of Pennsylvania’s ballots laid the groundwork for the election fraud lies and conspiracy theories that became a bedrock of Trumpism to take root.

“Election directors across Georgia oppose most of the ideas, saying they’re poorly thought-out, expensive and disruptive,” Niesse reports. “They’re calling for a pause on alterations to established procedures, especially after many poll workers have already been trained.” Advocates for the changes say they’re not trying to gum up the works; they merely want to make sure everything is accurate. More on the AP on the proposals

More top reads:

  • Teamsters fallout: Sen. MARKWAYNE MULLIN (R-Okla.) and Teamsters President SEAN O’BRIEN now talk regularly, having come a long way from when they almost brawled last year, Axios’ Stef Kight reports. Trump helped broker the peace as Republicans sought to woo the union, and Mullin talked to O’Brien on Wednesday before the Teamsters announced they wouldn’t endorse for president — a blow to Harris. Former Teamsters President JIM HOFFA blasted O’Brien for abandoning Democrats, calling it “a failure of leadership,” per NYT’s Jonathan Weisman.

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

Former President Donald Trump speaks at the Israel-American Council (IAC) Summit 2024 at the Washington Hilton on Thursday, Sept. 19, 2024 in Washington. (Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO via AP Images)

Donald Trump warned that Jews would bear a lot of blame for not supporting him enough if he doesn’t win the election. | Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO

MIDDLE EAST FALLOUT — Speaking to an audience of Jewish donors last night, Trump pledged to bring back his ban on people coming from Muslim-majority countries and refuse to admit refugees from Gaza and other “terror-infested areas,” per Bloomberg’s Nancy Cook. Trump assailed Harris as the No. 1 person in the world whom “Israel has to defeat” and called Schumer “Hamas all the way.” He vowed to “be the best friend Jewish Americans have ever had in the White House,” and said he would pull accreditation from universities that don’t “end antisemitic propaganda” in his first week in office.

But Trump also warned that Jews would bear a lot of blame for not supporting him enough if he doesn’t win the election. Second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF separately excoriated Trump in an interview with ABC’s Michael Strahan for having said “vile, antisemitic things.” Despite Trump’s sharp pro-Israel stance, a sizable number of Arab American and Muslim voters are considering voting for JILL STEIN instead of Harris, Reuters’ Andrea Shalal reports.

Meanwhile in the Middle East, as Israel bombarded Hezbollah positions in Lebanon yesterday, the U.S. tried to encourage restraint, but it’s caught in a tricky position after a wave of exploding electronics injured thousands, ABC’s Shannon Kingston reports. Elsewhere in the region, WSJ’s Alex Ward scooped that the U.S. now expects the Israel-Hamas war to continue without a cease-fire through the end of Biden’s term. And NBC’s Courtney Kube and Dan De Luce scooped that the U.S. claims Iran is helping the Houthis target U.S. Reaper drones.

More top reads:

TV TONIGHT — PBS’ “Washington Week”: Leigh Ann Caldwell, McKay Coppins, Caitlin Dickerson and Zolan Kanno-Youngs.

SUNDAY SO FAR …

NBC “Meet the Press”: Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) … Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) … new national polling. Panel: Peter Alexander, Carlos Curbelo, Stephanie Murphy and Amy Walter.

ABC “This Week”: Rep. Mike Kelly (R-Pa.) and Rep. Jason Crow (D-Colo.). Politics panel: Donna Brazile and Chris Christie. Panel: Jonathan Karl, Julie Pace and Marianna Sotomayor.

MSNBC “The Weekend”: Sen. Ben Ray Luján (D-N.M.) … Sen. Alex Padilla (D-Calif.) … Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.).

CNN “State of the Union”: Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer … Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.). Panel: Kate Bedingfield, Brad Todd, Jamal Simmons and Erin Perrine.

FOX “Fox News Sunday”: North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum. Assassination task force panel: Rep. Michael Waltz (R-Fla.) and Rep. Madeleine Dean (D-Pa.). Panel: Kevin Roberts, Julia Manchester, Juan Williams and Doug Heye. Sunday special: Stewart McLaurin.

CBS “Face the Nation”: Colorado Gov. Jared Polis … Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.).

NewsNation “The Hill Sunday”: Wendy Sherman. Panel: David Drucker, Paul Kane and Sabrina Siddiqui.