In this edition: the third annual Americana Awards, Democrats and Republicans agree Elon Musk has ta͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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December 20, 2024
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Today’s Edition
A numbered map of the US.
  1. The Americana Awards
  2. DC welcomes President Musk
  3. An election court fight in NC
  4. MAGA primary challengers kick off
  5. Bannon on populism

Also: David recommends his favorite reads to put immigration and border security into context.

First Word
A note from David Weigel

Joe Biden’s interviewers came not to bury him, but to praise him. In the weeks before Christmas, having avoided sit-downs with some major outlets for his entire presidency, Biden gave time to liberal and progressive outlets with big online presences, like MeidasTouch and More Perfect Union. They didn’t ask about his pardons, his age, or anything the press corps shouts on a tarmac. They asked why he never grabbed credit for job growth or rising stock prices, like Donald Trump had.

“The media’s changed drastically,” Biden told MeidasTouch host Ben Meiselas. “When you read that only — what is it? — something like 6-7% of people under the age of 25 read a newspaper, so on and so forth, technology is changing everything. You guys are extremely successful because you speak to a truth.”

There may be no topic more interesting to the press corps, and less interesting to everybody else, than who gets a presidential interview. But Biden’s contempt for the narrative-crazed “legacy media” had an effect on how he was covered. His efforts to elevate new, friendlier outlets echoed what Donald Trump did effectively in his first term. They were just far less effective.

You can tell, and not just because Democrats are a little embarrassed to see so many pro-Biden influencers taking Christmas party pictures with his son. The Democrats jockeying to run the party, or be the next nominee, are talking about how to make themselves more accessible, and how to talk to conservative outlets whose consumers never hear from Democrats. Biden has all but disappeared during this week’s fight over government funding, and today’s down-to-the-wire scramble to avert a shutdown; Donald Trump has been personally calling TV news anchors to share his demands.

This is the last Americana of 2024, and we’ll return on Jan. 10. There’ll be just two more editions before the Biden presidency is over, though we’ll continue to cover the negotiations over government funding — or how they wrap up.

This will also be the last edition with Benjy Sarlin in the hot seat, editing the copy that always comes in on time, with no typos or unfinished sentences. Benjy was essential to Semafor’s success and the reporting we did over the course of the presidential campaign. If you’ve been enjoying this newsletter, you have him to thank, and next year’s Americana will be a tribute to all his good work and big ideas.

1

The third annual Americana Awards

US President-elect Donald Trump delivers remarks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida.
Brian Snyder/File Photo/Reuters

Back in 2022, when Americana was just getting started, I started wrapping up the year with a set of awards. There were no actual prizes. There was no public ceremony, which is increasingly unusual for Semafor. The jury consisted of one voter: Me.

You all seemed to like this, and the format helped put everything in context after a surprising midterm election, and — last year— a set of off-year elections that made Democrats over-confident.

This was a much less complicated year, with a clear story and obvious winner. Donald Trump ran the best of his three presidential campaigns, benefitting from a robust alternative media that he helped build, and voter nostalgia for his first term. He was supernaturally lucky, surviving an assassination attempt that changed, for a long time, how the rest of the media covered him. There was no deus ex machina to explain the win this time, no Comey letter or Hillary Clinton fainting spell. He beat Joe Biden, then he beat Kamala Harris.

Read on for the full list of winners. →

2

Democrats find their shutdown villain, and Republicans their hero

Elon Musk speaks with Donald Trump as they watch the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket in Brownsville, Texas.
Brandon Bell/Pool via Reuters

Democrats and Republicans agreed with each other on Thursday: Elon Musk had taken over the government, derailing up a funding deal that the elected representatives of the people had negotiated. Federal workers woke up Friday unsure if the government would be funded over Christmas. A man who hadn’t won a single vote was ready to risk a weeks-long shutdown – and absorb the blame for it.

Was this a good thing? That’s where the two parties disagreed.

“Elon Musk, this unelected man, said, we’re not doing this deal, and Donald Trump followed along,” House Minority Whip Katherine Clark told reporters on Thursday. Other Democrats said that they’d warned about exactly this — the wealthiest man in the world, running the government — before the election.

Democrats warned that Musk was usurping Speaker Mike Johnson’s power. Republicans said that voters had given Musk a mandate when they elected Trump — and would it be so bad, really, if Musk did run the House?

“The DOGE movement is enormously popular in the House,” Utah Sen. Mike Lee told podcaster Benny Johnson. “That being the case, given that they all express such affection for Vivek [Ramaswamy] and for Elon, let them choose one of them — I don’t care which one — to be their speaker. That would revolutionize everything. It would break up the firm. We would now have government of the people, by the people, and for the people.”

Read on to dig into the positions on both sides. →

3

The year’s closest elections head to court, over Democratic protests

People cast their ballots on the last day of early voting for the general election in Michigan at the Livingston Educational Service Agency in Howell, Michigan.
Jeff Kovalsky/AFP via Getty Images

North Carolina’s 2024 election is over, but Republicans who lost two crucial races haven’t conceded — and are suing to eke out wins.

After two recounts confirmed his 734-loss in the race for state Supreme Court, Judge Jefferson Griffin is asking that body to disqualify 60,000 ballots, cast by registered voters whose forms were missing information (like additional ID) that old state laws require; a 20-year old state law, which the election was conducted under, does not require them. Another Republican, trailing in a close race for state House, has also contested his loss, which, if it held, would break the party’s supermajority and prevent it from overriding vetos.

Griffin’s challenges were rejected by the state election board, which has a Democratic majority; it won’t next year, after Republicans in Raleigh overrode Gov. Roy Cooper’s veto of a bill that gives the state auditor (a Republican) power to appoint a board member, taking that power from the governor. Justice Allison Riggs has declared victory; separately, incoming Democratic Gov. Josh Stein has sued to stop the new law from taking effect.

But Democrats worry that the GOP majority on the state supreme court, which previously sided with Republican legislators and allowed them to re-gerrymander the state’s electoral maps, will throw out the ballots and prevent Riggs from being seated next month.

4

The GOP is already getting 2026 MAGA primary challengers

A view of the US Capitol.
Wikimedia Commons

Republican senators’ battle against MAGA-inspired primary opponents hoping to win Donald Trump’s favor officially started days ago in Louisiana, where the first Facebook ads began running for a campaign that’s two years away.

One of the ads urged Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy to “support Pete Hegseth” for defense secretary. Another told Republicans that Cassidy needed “to vote for all of Trump’s nominees,” and there was a way to make him do it — follow state treasurer John Fleming, Cassidy’s brand-new GOP primary challenger.

“I’m openly and publicly supporting all of [Trump’s] nominees,” Fleming told Semafor. “It doesn’t mean that I necessarily agree with everything they’ve said in the past. But I trust President Trump.”

As they weigh the president-elect’s Cabinet picks, incumbent GOP senators are facing serious pressure to vote his way if they want to avoid tough and costly primary challenges. Trump confirmed as much on Monday, telling reporters that if Republicans are “unreasonable, if they’re opposing somebody for political reasons or stupid reasons,” then those senators would be primaried.

Read on for the full story on the GOP’s ongoing battle. →

5

Steve Bannon shares the populist right’s 2025 gameplan

Steve Bannon during the AmericaFest 2024 conference sponsored by conservative group Turning Point in Phoenix.
Cheney Orr/Reuters

“I’m for a dramatic increase in corporate taxes,” said Steve Bannon. “We have to increase taxes on the wealthy.”

Late last week, as the fight over government funding started to heat up, Steve Bannon wanted to talk about populism. He sat down with Americana before a taping of his War Room show, denouncing how defense appropriators had shoved through their year-end spending, and previewing a fight between his wing of the GOP and the establishment that was not quite dead.

“In President Trump’s house,” he said, “there are many mansions. You’re going to see a fight. You’re going to see a fight from the populist right. If you look at 2024 as just a win for Trump, he’ll be here for four years, and we’ll figure out what happens after, then you don’t think things have to change. You think we just need the tax cuts. If you look at Trump as a historic figure, as I do — Washington, Lincoln and Trump, right? — then this is the age of Trump, and Trump is a personification and manifestation of deeper forces in the world and in the United States.”

Read on for the full interview, and how Bannon thinks Elon Musk fits into the next administration.  →

On the Bus
A graphic with a map of the United States and an image of the Statue of Liberty

Polls

A chart showing whether Americans approve or disapprove of Elon Musk playing a prominent role in the Trump administration.

Quinnipiac’s polling got the swing states right this year, modeling an electorate that was happier than ever with Donald Trump and ready to vote for him. It finds that voters are still mostly optimistic about his second term, by an 11-point margin, and the same voters are a little uncomfortable with Musk’s unofficial, all-reaching role. He’s less personally popular than Trump, especially with non-white voters, and independents disapprove of what he’s doing by 20 points. Eighty-one percent of Republicans approve, in sync with their members of Congress, who’ve embraced Musk and DOGE and started criticizing legislation (like the continuing resolution) for breaking faith with him.

A chart showing responses to a poll on whether Amercians think tariffs and Trump policies will hurt the US economy.

Even as they look forward to Trump II, and agree with him on a few key issues — mass deportation, more drilling, banning gender medicine for minors — non-Republicans are a little worried about his economic agenda. Most worry that tariffs will be painful for them, and a smaller majority of non-Republicans don’t expect him to lower inflation. They have no Biden or Harris nostalgia, and Biden in particular has fallen to the lowest approval ratings of his presidency. But there are more pocketbook worries about Trump than “culture war” worries — on that, he’s winning.

A chart showing a survey asking whether Americans thought the actions of the UnitedHealthcare CEO killer were acceptable or unacceptable.

Donald Trump condemned the killing of Brian Thompson and the fandom around his alleged killer. A handful of Democrats condemned the killing, then said they understood the fandom. Neither is very interested in the minority of voters — around one-sixth of the country in this poll — who don’t have a big problem with Thompson’s death. Forty-one percent of voters under 30 say that the killing was either “somewhat” or “com