A BetrayalSenate Democrats didn't just squander an opportunity to rein in Donald Trump and Elon Musk. They confirmed all the stereotypes that have made them toxic to progressives and swing voters alike.
The comedian Bill Burr appeared on the NPR show Fresh Air this week and—how else to say this?—he became the change I want to see in the world. Burr delivered an extended rant in the familiar vein of us vs. them class politics, but where the “them” aren’t rich people per se, but specifically people with immense fame, clout, and influence, who use their online notoriety to exploit “us.” When host Terry Gross asked him who he had in mind, he said “Elon Musk,” and then exploded:
When Gross followed up to ask what he was doing about all these bad things that liberals refuse to stand up against, he didn’t skip a beat: “THIS!” “You gotta speak up about it,” Burr said. “You don’t just go, like ‘Oh my god, what? Ugh!’ First of all, it’s like I’m a standup comedian. It’s not my frickin’ job. I’m talking about Democratic politicians. Where is their pushback.” In an instant, Burr reached a huge audience with a critique I’ve been mounting for years on a much smaller stage. We take for granted that Donald Trump, Musk, Congressional Republicans, and neo-Nazis are the bad guys. But we express our disdain for them through criticism of powerful liberals and Democrats, because, as often as they squander their power and influence, they might at least listen. Democrats have been agonizing since the election, and even before, over how to communicate in the new media, and how to reach young people—men in particular. And here, in the words and very existence of Bill Burr, is both an answer to the question and a diagnosis of why the current approach has failed. “They have nothing.” On Thursday night, Senate Democrats proved Burr’s point. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer announced that he will provide the deciding vote to give Musk and Trump a blank check. Fund the government without any mechanism to make the Trump administration follow the law, plus a bunch of extra right-wing goodies thrown in for good measure. Most Senate Democrats will oppose that bill, but they will go along with the ruse that they were simply outnumbered. That there’s no reason to throw out the leaders who hung them out to dry. They were not guaranteed to win, but they did choose not to fight. The way Democrats do things, the way they respond to threat and provocation, has made them a laughing stock across every frontier of what you might call critical culture or subversive culture. We sometimes shorthand this as the “manosphere” or “podcasts,” but it isn’t just men, and it isn’t just podcasts. It’s male comedians, but also female comedians. It’s progressives, but it’s also swing voters. Everyone who trades on or enjoys a healthy dose of iconoclasm can see it. It’s only keepers of some imagined populism of rectitude who treat Dems like master practitioners, and save all their enmity and contempt for the GOP. But you can’t grow if iconoclasts have you pegged as offering nothing, and we can’t stop Republicans if Democrats aren’t willing to do something. So step one for these Democrats: Go find Bill Burr and sit down with him for an hour. Make your case or confess your sins to him. Gavin Newsom has launched a whole podcast apparently for the purposes of increasing the profile of, and finding reasons to agree with, some of the most dishonest people in right-wing politics. He and other prominent Democrats would reach way more persuadable people engaging with good faith critics. Not me, necessarily (though I’m easy to find) but specifically mad-as-hell people like Burr whose senses aren’t failing them, and who see “they”—you—“have nothing.” FOOL ME ONCE, BLAME ON YOUI confess I’m not terribly familiar with Burr’s actual comedy, but I think it’s important for as many people as possible to hear his message, insofar as it might make Democrats question their political culture, and expose regular people to searing criticism of the new right. Rants like his, or like this one from Stephen A. Smith, have the potential to accomplish a lot, even though they provide no mechanistic way to make change. To borrow a term from disdainful political professionals, Burr’s outburst was purely expressive. The political scientist Sam Rosenfeld recently scolded critics who wanted to see Democrats exploit Senate rules to grind the Trump-Musk-DOGE regime to a halt. “[T]here's no argument made here for how using this ‘leverage’ could plausibly result in Trump and Republicans backing down, it's pitched entirely as a symbolic gesture to express Democrats' anger.” Emphasis added. Sam is a friend so I want to try to answer his implicit question in detail and good faith. The short version is that expressiveness is not synonymous with uselessness. Expression can be useless or productive or counterproductive, but it’s a huge part of politics. No one wages a battle for public opinion without putting thought and resources into expressing something. I assume what Sam meant is that Republicans didn’t think they’d be blamed for a government shutdown, and thus wouldn’t feel pressure to negotiate any concessions to Democrats. Thus, Democrats were likely to harm themselves politically, and accomplish nothing. That analysis may have been right. It’s at least correct, as I conceded this week, that a party that uses filibuster rules to precipitate a government shutdown will have inherent difficulty assigning blame to the other party. It’d be much easier if Republicans simply didn’t have enough votes, and weren’t willing to make concessions to Democrats to fill the gap. But the counterargument is that once the government shuts down, the parties enter an almost exclusively expressive information war, and public opinion determines who wins and loses. The leverage isn’t to change Republican minds directly, it’s to force this standoff into the realm of public opinion, and let public opinion work its will. There’s only so much faith one can have in a party that splinters in the face of conflict to win a battle for public opinion. The president also has non-expressive tools he can use to focus the pain of a shutdown on his enemies and their constituents. The risk was real. But the outcome was by no means preordained. History has little to teach us about who would have caught the blame here. For one thing, we have a tiny n. There have been three lengthy shutdowns in my life, and a small smattering of much shorter ones. To the extent we can theorize about who wins shutdown fights, it’s usually safe to bet against the hostage-taking party. If you refuse to fund the government unless your opponent makes some non-germane concession, you’re the asshole, and people will notice. Since that’s almost always the GOP, I think we should suspect the public is primed to blame Republicans for shutdowns in general. A Thursday Quinnipiac poll found that, if there’d been a shutdown, 32 percent of Americans would blame Democrats, 31 percent would blame Republicans, and 22 percent would blame Trump. Not a bad place to start, under the circumstances, and given the GOP’s immense media advantage. But there’s more than just theory and polling to look to. For instance, when Trump took his own government hostage in 2018—refusing to sign an appropriations bill until Congress amended it to include funding for a southern border wall—the public blamed him. The president can lose a shutdown fight, if the public understands him and his party to bear the blame for precipitating the crisis. Which brings us to today. We’ve never had a shutdown fight quite like this one. Nobody was asking Democrats to withhold their votes until Trump agreed to sign the DREAM Act. On the narrowest view, we ended in a place where Republicans were demanding that Democrats vote for a bill full of partisan riders—which is to say, they’re the ones holding government funding hostage to partisan aims. That’s what Schumer caved to. But I think most close observers understood that the larger fight wasn’t over the riders. It was over Trump and Musk and their cynical operations outside the Constitution. About the immense damage they’ve done to the government and economy in wholly illegitimate ways. Most liberal citizens oppose business as usual, because they know Trump will wipe his ass with a “usual” agreement. They want to hold out until Trump gets right with the law, and mechanisms can be put in place to stop him from recidivating. Is that holding the government hostage for a unilateral concession? Republican propagandists would certainly say so. But they’d be lying. There is no such thing as a classic “clean CR” because Trump has claimed dictatorial power to break the law, and demanded the only real concession: That Congress implicitly sanction his lawbreaking. The only way to fix that is to reup the current budget, and include real, hard penalties for violating the agreement. That won’t happen now; Trump got his demand. Democrats, of course, couldn’t guarantee us that Republicans would back down. But they declined their one chance to fight for one. “They have nothing.” THE URGE TO PURGEWe can’t unsee what we’ve seen, what I recently called the long tail of failed leadership. Or at least I can’t. It should be clear to everyone, though. Me, Bill Burr, everyone: The cowardliness I’ve been prattling on about since 2018, when it first became clear to me that Dems were scared of Trump and that their fear would become a problem for the fight against dictatorship. Well here we are. My regret after all this time is that I don’t have a detailed plan written up with steps to fix it. But I think we kind of know. Parties have been taken over before. It starts with new leadership elections, and with the understanding that the winners will bring in new people. One not-entirely-unfounded fear when Bernie Sanders was ascendant was that he’d replace the Democratic establishment with a hodgepodge of n |