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Anxiety over credit ratings |
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Natasha White for Green Daily

Today’s newsletter looks at why Colombia has been turning down debt-for-nature deals — even as the country scurries to find new ways to finance a massive green overhaul of its economy. You can read and share the full story on Bloomberg.com. For unlimited access to climate and energy news, please subscribe

Colombia’s green finance dilemma

By Natasha White

Colombia has been rejecting offers to do a debt-for-nature swap over fears such a deal could impact its sovereign credit rating, according to the country’s former environment minister. 

The transactions, which have gained traction in a number of developing countries, are designed to free up funds to finance the transition to cleaner energy or to protect nature. In the arrangements, countries refinance a portion of their debt on better terms and allocate savings to environmental projects.

Colombia’s concern is that a debt-for-nature swap could “send the wrong message to the markets and make our financial situation worse,” said Susana Muhamad, who resigned as Colombia’s environment minister last month.

“Because we are a middle-income economy, the financial markets look at us differently than if we were a country that is in debt struggles,” she said. At the same time, “we need to increase the fiscal capacity for the climate transition, but without sending a signal to the markets that we are not able to pay our debt.”

A spokesperson for Colombia’s environment ministry said Muhamad’s comments reflect the government’s current stance. 

Developing country governments are looking for new ways to finance the transition away from fossil fuels and to conserve their diverse plant and animal species. Colombia was forced back to the drawing board on a $40 billion green investment plan following President Donald Trump’s return to the White House. Bogota’s anxiety around debt-for-nature deals highlights a potential dilemma that other middle-income countries may face when considering financing options for their green transition. 

Colombia felt burnt by credit ratings agencies who got “super nervous” around its decision to halt new oil and gas development in 2023, Muhamad told Bloomberg last year. That risked adding to the country’s already high cost of capital, she said. In January 2024, S&P Global Ratings switched the country’s outlook to negative, citing the country’s green transition plan among the factors that drove that decision.

Debt-for-nature swaps have proved popular with junk-rated countries and are attracting a growing number of global banks. The first such swap was arranged by Credit Suisse for Belize in 2021. Since then, Barbados, Ecuador, Gabon, El Salvador and Bahamas have completed similar swaps, with Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Standard Chartered Plc among banks moving into the market.

The deals typically involve credit enhancement from a multilateral development bank — or development finance institution — to help lower the cost of borrowing and give a country access to an investor base that would normally be out of reach. 

Credit ratings have given a reason to be cautious about considering a debt swap. S&P Global Ratings upgraded Belize after judging its swap moved it out of selective default. Yet Moody’s considered the transaction an event of default. Moody’s also treated both of Ecuador’s deals as a distressed exchange, contrary to S&P Global Ratings and Fitch.

Sebastian Espinosa, managing director at White Oak Advisory, which guided Barbados on its debt swaps, said concerns about ratings agency treatment now are a “hangover” from early deals in Belize and Ecuador. “We’re trying to position these as deals that are done from a position of strength, and as part of prudent liability management,” Espinosa said. It’s a “mistake” to link debt swaps with debt distress, he said.

Still, for Colombia the focus now is on a more comprehensive debt solution. The country, alongside Kenya, France and Germany, has sponsored a review of how an issuer can leverage its liabilities for environmental protection and what changes are needed to the international financial architecture to help it do so.

For more from the credit rating agencies’ perspective, get the full story online. Also, read more about the hurdles Colombia is facing as its tries to wean off oil and gas. 

Unintended consequences

2 million 
This is how many metric tons of liquefied natural gas were imported into Colombia last year. The ban on new gas drilling contracts has made importing the fuel necessary, further complicating the country's path to net zero.

Seeking new inspiration

"I have been inspired by Germany quite frankly... The new chancellor of Germany made it absolutely clear that whatever it takes to keep his country stable he will undertake and that he would be reviewing fiscal rules, particularly with respect to military spending."
Mia Mottley
Prime Minister of Barbados
In a recent interview with the Zero podcast, Mottley said the  German chancellor-in-waiting's push for a massive debt-spending deal is the kind of energy she’s bringing to climate adaptation funding in her country.

Hear more from Mia Mottley

In the time since she became Prime Minister of Barbados in 2018, Mia Mottley has become known as a moral force for action on climate change. The Bridgetown Initiative, which she launched at COP26 in 2021, transformed the conversation around climate finance – pushing rich nations to do more to support developing countries struggling with the impact of climate change. But as the US retreats from climate action, her bold vision faces new challenges. At the Sustainable Energy for All Global Forum in Barbados, she tells Akshat Rathi why she remains optimistic. Mottley also spoke about the role of pragmatism in tackling the climate challenge.

Listen now, and subscribe on Apple,  Spotify, or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday

More from Green

Environmentalists are sounding the alarm as a slew of infrastructure projects on the Caribbean island of Dominica are priming a travel boom.

The island is planning to add another airport and a yacht marina to make it more accessible to tourists, while also approving new big-box resorts, as it seeks to promote its volcanoes, beaches and other natural wonders. 

Tourism Minister Denise Charles-Pemberton says plans are modeled on ecotourism successes in Costa Rica and New Zealand. Yet not all Dominicans are cheering on these developments. Neither of those two (much bigger) countries increased tourism so sharply, so fast, and the strategy is raising greenwashing concerns. Read the full story on Bloomberg.com. 

Batibou Bay on Dominica’s north coast. Photographer: Greg Florent

US offshore wind suffers another massive blow. A critical permit for an offshore wind farm planned near the New Jersey Shore has been invalidated by an administrative appeals board, seven weeks after President Donald Trump declared he hoped the project was “dead and gone.”

Clean energy stocks got a boost in Germany. A new government spending deal, which earmarks €100 billion ($109 billion) for climate projects, gave a jolt to green energy companies that could benefit from the wave of extra funding.

What do whale songs say about climate change? A new study found that whales vocalized less after a marine heat wave decimated their prey. The research suggests whale sounds could be a new metric for understanding biodiversity and ocean health.

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