Australia Briefing
Good morning and welcome back, it’s Ainsley here with all the news you need to kick the short working week ahead of the Easter break.Today’s
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Good morning and welcome back, it’s Ainsley here with all the news you need to kick the short working week ahead of the Easter break.

Today’s must-reads:
• Albanese, Dutton launch election campaigns
• PM approval rises to highest point in 11 months
• Monash IVF shares plunge after embryo mix-up

What's happening now

The election campaigns kicked off. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese promised to allow all first-time home buyers to purchase their residence with as little as a 5% deposit and to provide A$10 billion to build 100,000 homes reserved for those entering the property market. Opposition leader Peter Dutton said he would allow a limited number of first-time home buyers to deduct their mortgage interest payments from their taxes for five years, in addition to offering voters a one-time cost-of-living tax cut in the financial year ending June 2026. 

Albanese’s net approval rating has reached its highest point in 11 months ahead of an election on May 3, as the fallout from US President Donald Trump’s trade war looms over the vote. Albanese’s center-left Labor government also maintained its narrow lead over the Liberal-National Coalition opposition at the campaign mid-point, by 52% to 48% on a two-party preferred basis, in the latest Newspoll  survey published in The Australian newspaper yesterday.

Anthony Albanese, Australia's prime minister. Photographer: Matt Jelonek/Bloomberg

Monash IVF plunged a record 36% on Friday after the reproductive health-care company said that an embryo belonging to one patient was mistakenly implanted into another, resulting in the birth of a child. News of the incident, which occurred at the company’s Brisbane clinic, wiped A$150 million from Monash IVF’s market value. 

China is done retaliating against Trump’s exorbitant tariffs, writes Shuli Ren for Bloomberg Opinion. One dangerous card that China’s got is its $760 billion holdings in Treasury securities. Last week, the 10-year yield jumped by 50 basis points to 4.49%, the biggest weekly surge since 2001. Some of the sharpest moves were occurring during Asian hours, prompting speculation that Beijing was in the market. Will China weaponize and dump its holdings

What happened overnight

Here’s what my colleague, market strategist Mike “Willo” Wilson, says happened while we were sleeping…

A break in the tariff clouds at last with smartphones, computers and the like winning (albeit temporary) exemptions from some US tariffs. China called it a step in the right direction. Haven yen and swiss franc longs were trimmed while the Aussie took gains into a fourth day. ASX 200 stock futures indicate opening gains. Highlights this week are RBA April meeting minutes along with New Zealand first quarter CPI. Both have potential to move markets.

Here’s some more detail on that tariff reprieve for electronics. Trump said the move is temporary and a part of the longstanding plan to apply a different, specific levy to the sector. “NOBODY is getting ‘off the hook,’” the president said in a social media post Sunday, issued shortly after he finished his Sunday golf game. The exempted products are “just moving to a different Tariff ‘bucket’” and the administration will be “taking a look at Semiconductors and the WHOLE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN,” he added. 

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari signaled confidence that markets will remain orderly as investors sort through Trump’s shifting trade policies and said the central bank must stay focused on keeping inflation expectations anchored.

Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Photographer: Anita Pouchard Serra/Bloomberg

Ukraine said more than two dozen people were killed and scores injured after Russian missiles struck the city of Sumy, days after US envoy Steve Witkoff met with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss ending the war.

What to watch

• Nothing major scheduled

One more thing...

Caviar has become the rotisserie chicken of fine dining. As bird flu forces US stores to ration $10-a-dozen chicken eggs, salt-cured fish eggs have become inescapable at high-end restaurants. The slimy, briny spheres can now be found atop $68 sour-cream-and-onion dips in Nashville and $73 egg salads in San Francisco. But while customer perception of caviar as a luxury worth shelling out for has remained remarkably resilient for over a century, the wholesale cost of caviar — specifically, the roe from sturgeon — has dropped considerably in the past few years.

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