Balance of Power
The missile strike on the Ukrainian city of Sumy yesterday was another reminder of the deadly human cost of Russia’s invasion and underlined how little progress US President Donald Trump is making in ending the war.
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The Russian missile strike on the Ukrainian city of Sumy yesterday was another reminder of the deadly human cost of President Vladimir Putin’s invasion.

It also underlined how little progress US President Donald Trump is making in ending the war he claimed he could resolve quickly.

Putin hosted Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff in St. Petersburg, their third meeting since February, just two days before the strike that killed or wounded more than 150 people.

European leaders swiftly condemned the Russian attack. Trump called it “terrible” while adding “I’m told they made a mistake.”

Details of Putin’s discussion with Witkoff are unclear. While European powers continue preparations for a post-war “reassurance force” in Ukraine, there are few signs a peace deal is near.

The White House’s initial goal of an Easter ceasefire looks increasingly out of reach. Talk of a summit between Putin and Trump has also faded.

A 30-day halt to strikes on energy infrastructure between Russia and Ukraine is due to expire on Friday. A Black Sea truce negotiated at talks in Saudi Arabia remains marooned after Russia demanded sanctions relief first.

The foundering diplomacy raises the risk that fighting intensifies on the battlefield as a fourth summer of war approaches. Trump vented his frustration on Friday, saying “Russia has to get moving” in reaching a deal.

Still, he has refrained from pressuring Putin to make concessions while also signaling a willingness to accept key Russian war aims including seizure of territory and an end to Ukrainian ambitions of NATO membership.

The difficulty for Trump is that he has already shown his hand — he just wants the war to end.

Putin wants the war to end on his terms — and, so far, he’s shown he’ll continue the killing until Trump gives him what he wants. Tony Halpin

Steve Witkoff. Photographer: Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

Global Must Reads

Trump said he still intends to apply tariffs to phones, computers and popular consumer electronics, downplaying a weekend exemption as merely a procedural step in his overall push to recalibrate global trade. The dollar’s decline resumed, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index down about 0.3% after earlier tumbling to its lowest level since October. The gauge has slumped almost 6% this year.

President Xi Jinping’s first overseas trip of 2025, taking in Vietnam, Malaysia and Cambodia, was meant to showcase China’s clout in South East Asia. Trump’s tariff threats have turned it into a push to keep leaders in the region from cutting deals at Beijing’s expense. Meanwhile, the European Union is racing to clinch trade deals to diversify away from the US as officials worry that the transatlantic relationship has been irreversibly damaged.

Ecuadors electoral authority declared President Daniel Noboa the winner of yesterday’s runoff ballot, 16 months after he took over as interim leader, giving him more time to tackle the Latin American country’s endemic problems of drug gangs and nationwide blackouts. While presidential candidate Luisa González declined to concede, Noboa’s lead suggests he’ll now have a full term to try and rein in cocaine-linked violence and economic turmoil.

Argentina has started dismantling foreign-exchange controls after securing a $20 billion International Monetary Fund program just six years after the country’s record financial bailout collapsed. This is the 23rd time the Washington-based IMF is coming to Argentina’s rescue in the past seven decades, with the big difference that the troubled South American nation’s economy is now under the leadership of libertarian President Javier Milei.

Iran and the US said their first formal talks about Tehran’s nuclear program since Trump’s return were “constructive,” and agreed to meet again in Rome in a week. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and US special envoy Witkoff met briefly and spoke after the talks, the first top-level discussions since 2022, marking a renewed effort to resolve years of standoff.

South Africa’s biggest political party, the African National Congress, is set to back down from a plan to increase value-added tax after parties both within and outside the government of national unity indicated they won’t support it, according to a newspaper report.

Gabon’s military leader, Brice Oligui Nguema, cemented his grip on power by winning the country’s first presidential election since he overthrew the government two years ago.

Nguema casts his ballot in Libreville on Saturday. Photographer: Nao Mukadi/AFP/Getty Images

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro is stable in intensive care after undergoing intestinal surgery to remove bowel obstructions and rebuild his abdominal wall, according to a statement from the Brasilia hospital where he’s being treated.

Cuban migrants have long enjoyed exceptional privileges in the US regardless of who was in power. Now Trump is attacking those benefits and recent arrivals are being told their path to legal immigration is no longer valid.

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Chart of the Day

China’s exports rebounded last month ahead of the massive tariff hikes imposed by the US, with near-record shipments flowing to Southeast Asia. While the surge supported the economy in the first quarter, the boost may dissipate after Trump threw global trade into chaos, slapping levies of higher than 100% on many Chinese exports.

And Finally

Mario Vargas Llosa, the Peruvian winner of the 2010 Nobel Prize in Literature who explored the military dictatorships and political corruption of Latin America, has died at 89. The onetime presidential contender wrote more than 60 novels, plays and works of non-fiction, and was a defender of individual liberty, democracy and the free market, which often put him at odds with his peers and political leaders in the region.

Mario Vargas Llosa in Cajamarca, Peru, in 1988. Photographer: Niceforo Ruiz/AFP/Getty Images

Thanks to the 41 people who answered Friday’s quiz, and congratulations to Bill Peterson, who was first to correctly identify El Salvador as the country whose travel-safety designation was elevated by the US to the highest possible level, putting it above countries like France, the UK and Italy, ahead of a visit by the Central American nation’s president to the White House this week.

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