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It’s shaping up to be a big week for Turkey and its president.
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It’s shaping up to be a big week for Turkey and its president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.

After separatist Kurdish militant group PKK announced it was ending a four-decade insurgency, the country is preparing the stage for peace elsewhere.

Istanbul, the city that bridges Europe and Asia, is hosting direct talks between Ukraine and Russia for the first time since 2022 today. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will meet with Erdoğan and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio is also in Turkey.

Trump and Erdoğan in Washington in November 2019. Photographer: Alex Edelman/Bloomberg

The developments offer glimmers of hope of a diplomatic tipping point that Erdoğan has prepared for and which US President Donald Trump has propelled.

Turkish officials bet that ties with the US would flourish during Trump’s second term following years of strain. And with the US focused on foreign-policy aims, including ending the war in Ukraine and integrating Syria into the international system, Erdoğan is re-emerging as the regional powerbroker.

Trump said his decision to lift sanctions on Syria followed a call with Erdoğan. The Turkish president also joined a conversation with the US president and leaders from Damascus and Riyadh yesterday to discuss Syrian post-war reconstruction.

At the same time, Erdoğan’s positioning as a mediator in the global arena clashes with the judicial crackdown at home, where signs of a shift to full-blown autocracy — including the jailing of his most formidable rival, Ekrem İmamoğlu — is worrying observers. But Turkey’s Western allies, especially the US, are likely to overlook this amid the quest for larger-scale regional peace.

Meanwhile, Israel appears unimpressed as Trump eases tensions with Syria and strikes lucrative deals with other Middle Eastern powers. The Jewish state was not on the US president’s itinerary as he visited the region this week, leaving Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu increasingly isolated. — Beril Akman

Global Must Reads

Qatar’s prime minister defended his country’s offer of a luxury jet to Trump, telling CNN the nation would not follow through with the gift if it was deemed illegal and insisting it’s not an effort to wield undue influence. The Trump administration called its $142 billion defense deal with Saudi Arabia “the largest defense sales agreement in history,” but critics are doubting the numbers.

Trump greets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Photographer: Fayez Nureldine/AFP/Getty Images

Although the air strikes and artillery fire between the two nuclear-armed powers have mostly fallen silent, Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif took aim at his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi by accusing him of fanning instability and vowing a harsh response to future attacks. “Mr. Modi, if you take this route again, you will get a devastating answer,” Sharif said at a gathering of soldiers near the border.

Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić is positioning himself as the key powerbroker in the volatile Balkan region, seeking to consolidate his power amid anti-government protests at home and to reap rewards from his connections to the Trump family. Read this report from Belgrade, where evidence of a turbulent history is never far away, as Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner is set to develop a $500 million hotel.

A tram passing the former army headquarters in Belgrade on May 9. Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law, wants to turn it into a hotel complex. Photographer: Oliver Bunic/Bloomberg

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his pro-Europe coalition are hoping a centrist ally will replace right-wing populist incumbent Andrzej Duda in the upcoming presidential election. The ballot — with a first-round vote on Sunday and a likely runoff in June — will be keenly watched across the European Union as more of the bloc’s members succumb to democratic backsliding and far-right forces are emboldened by Trump’s return to the White House.

The governor of Brazil’s biggest state looked and sounded like he’s preparing for a 2026 presidential run at events in New York this week, where he wooed investors and CEOs eager to move past current leftist leader Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas declined to talk about the race, but his focus on fiscal policy and other national issues fueled speculation he’s the heir apparent to Jair Bolsonaro, the banned former president.

Trump said India has made an offer to drop tariffs on US goods as the Asian nation negotiates a deal to avert higher import taxes. The US leader also said Washington might be getting closer to an agreement with Iran to curb the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program.

German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul said his country is prepared to spend 5% of its economic output on defense, committing to a goal pushed for by Trump.

Putin criticized a United Nations probe that found his country culpable for the downing of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17, which killed all 298 passengers and crew in 2014.

The UK is drawing up plans for a special visa for foreigners who invest significant sums in Britain as Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s government seeks to blunt the economic blow from recent tax hikes and wider curbs on work permits. 

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa plans to hold talks with Trump in Washington on May 21 and hopes to ease a simmering diplomatic row between the two nations.

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Chart of the Day

China’s widening trade surplus with the EU is fueling fresh concerns that the 27-nation bloc risks becoming a dumping ground for cheap goods in the volatile tariff confrontation between Washington and Beijing. As European officials step up vigilance to ward off a flood of Chinese goods facing higher barriers to get into the US, data already indicate that China’s surplus with the EU reached a record $90 billion in the first four months of this year.

And Finally

Shifting coalitions since local elections in 2016 have hamstrung management of Johannesburg,  pitting the two biggest parties against each other and putting further strain on a tenuous national power-sharing government. South Africa’s biggest city has had 10 mayors since then and residents are subjected to regular power and water outages due to poorly maintained infrastructure, while streets are riddled with potholes.

Children play in inner-city area of Yeoville in Johannesburg in August 2024. Photographer: Leon Sadiki/Bloomberg

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