The US Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates where they are. Bloomberg News senior economics reporter Enda Curran explains why Donald Trump isn’t happy. Plus: The challenge of reviving US copper production, how Microsoft is standing by its climate goals, and is MAMUWT (Musk Always Makes Up With Trump) really a thing? If this email was forwarded to you, click here to sign up. Programming note: This newsletter will be off Thursday for Juneteenth. See you again on Friday. It seems like hardly a week goes by without President Donald Trump unloading on the Federal Reserve for not cutting interest rates. On Wednesday he ratcheted up his ongoing criticism, questioning the intelligence of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and even floating the idea that he could run the central bank himself. “We have a stupid person, frankly, at the Fed,” Trump told reporters. “Am I allowed to appoint myself at the Fed? I’d do a much better job than these people.” Depending on your perspective, the president’s remarks are either another assault on the Fed’s much-cherished political independence or merely the cut and thrust of daily politics. Trump isn’t the first president to criticize the Fed, even if he is likely among the most vocal to do so. What is clear, however, is that there are many opinions out there about whether it’s time to cut rates. Team “yes” points to the biggest increase in tariffs in a century and signs that companies are hiring at a slower pace. Team “no” says the economy is in fairly good shape, with employment holding up and inflation slowing. The Fed indicated on Wednesday that it wants to wait and see how things play out. Powell and his monetary policy colleagues decided to hold rates steady in a range of 4.25% to 4.5% for a fourth straight meeting, saying uncertainty over the economic outlook was still high but had diminished. At the same time, officials downgraded their estimates for economic growth this year while lifting their forecasts for unemployment and inflation. Trump leaving Air Force One. Photographer: Al Drago/Getty Images It remains to be seen how Trump’s tariffs will impact consumers and companies. The housing market, retail spending and manufacturing are among pockets of the economy that are clearly slowing. But the central bank gave little clue about when a rate cut might arrive. There’s another reason why Trump wants lower interest rates: to bring down the cost of government debt. As he seeks congressional approval for lower taxes that threaten to blow out the deficit, Trump says rate cuts are needed to bring down the burden for government borrowing. US Treasury figures released last week showed the government shelled out some $776 billion in interest costs on the federal debt in the past eight months. That’s up 7% from the same period in the previous fiscal year, when the interest burden already climbed to the highest since the 1990s. Economists warn that the Fed shouldn’t play a role in fiscal policy and that, even if it were to cut rates in an attempt to assist the government’s borrowing profile, such a move would only backfire as inflation expectations would take off and bond yields would increase as demand for US debt weakens. But for now Trump appears undeterred and dwelled on the issue when he spoke to reporters on Wednesday, saying it would be “nice” if the Fed cut rates by as much as 2.5 percentage points. He made his rationale for his critique of Powell plain and simple: “He’s costing the country a fortune,” according to Trump. |