Australia Briefing
Good morning, it's Paul-Alain Hunt in the Melbourne bureau with the headlines to start your Friday. The ASX is set to open in the red, but f
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Good morning, it's Paul-Alain Hunt in the Melbourne bureau with the headlines to start your Friday. The ASX is set to open in the red, but first...

Today’s must-reads:
• Adnoc, Santos and regulatory risk
• Australian funds cut US Treasuries holdings
• What happens if Aukus falls apart?

What's happening now

Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.’s bullish US$18.7 billion takeover bid for Santos will weigh who controls critical energy infrastructure against the need to address a looming domestic gas shortfall.

Australia’s world-first social media ban for under-16s moved closer to implementation after a key trial found that checking a user’s age is technologically possible and can be integrated into existing services.

A number of Australia’s biggest investors say they are cutting their holdings of US Treasuries, citing concern over President Donald Trump’s tariff and tax plans. Instead, they’re looking to boost their holdings of government bonds from Australia, Europe and Japan.

More on tariffs: The Albanese government should maintain a cautious approach on the reciprocal tariffs, despite the potential impact on the beef industry, Special Representative for Australian Agriculture Su McCluskey said. Australian beef exports to the US, worth about A$4.2 billion annually, will be hit by the 10% global levy imposed under Trump. 

Australia's economy shed 2,500 jobs in May, driven by a decline in part-time roles, despite economists' expectations for a 21,200 increase. Unemployment held steady as fewer people sought work, suggesting a slight loosening of the labor market and bolstering the case for the Reserve Bank to reduce interest rates further.

The US has announced a review of the Aukus defense deal, increasing doubts about whether the country will follow through on its pact with Australia and the UK. This week on the podcast, Rebecca Jones asks reporter Ben Westcott to explain what’s behind the review and potential consequences are for Australia in the region. Listen and follow The Bloomberg Australia Podcast on Apple, Spotify, on YouTube, or wherever you get your podcasts. Terminal clients: Run {NSUB AUPOD <GO>} on your desktop to subscribe.

Rio Tinto has agreed to pay $138.75 million to settle a lawsuit that accused the miner of hiding problems from investors at its giant copper mine in Mongolia. Plaintiffs, led by Pentwater Capital Management, alleged the world’s second-biggest miner held back information on the Oyu Tolgoi underground expansion from investors as costs ballooned and it fell behind schedule. 

New Zealand’s economic recovery from a 2024 recession gathered pace in the first quarter and exports surged. While the economy remains smaller than a year ago, the recovery is welcome news for the government ahead of the 2026 election.

What happened overnight

Here’s what my colleague, market strategist Mike “Willo” Wilson says happened while we were sleeping…

With the US on a holiday, futures markets became the go to barometer of sentiment. Negative vibes out of the Middle East saw Treasury futures rise and stock futures finish a shortened session down about 1%. Positioning into a weekend fraught with geopolitical risks saw flows into swiss franc (despite the Swiss National Bank cutting rates to zero to curb the currency’s strength), or away from risk-on currencies like Aussie and kiwi which both finished lower. WTI crude pared gains on news  Trump has given himself two weeks to decide whether the US will strike Iran. The local upcoming data cupboard is bare and ASX stock futures point to a weak opening.

Meanwhile, Iran is racing to get its oil out into the world, a sign of the unusual logistical steps that Tehran is undertaking as the US mulls joining Israel in bombing the Persian Gulf state. 

A SpaceX Starship rocket exploded on a test stand in Texas, adding to a series of setbacks to Elon Musk’s space ambitions that include return trips to Mars. The huge blast enveloped the craft as it stood upright at Starbase, before massive plumes of flames and smoke mushroomed into the night sky, video footage of the incident late Wednesday showed.

The political fate of Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra remained uncertain late Thursday after mounting opposition calls and street protests for her to resign following a leaked phone call in which she criticized her army. 

Thailand Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra Photographer: Valeria Mongelli/Bloomberg

Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto pledged to strengthen relations with Russia at a meeting with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin. 

And finally, renewables didn’t cause Spain’s April grid blackout, writes Bloomberg Opinion’s David Fickling. Blaming thunder and lightning on warring gods, as the ancients did, misses the real reason: that clouds can build up electrical voltages thousands of times higher than you’ll find in a power line.

What to watch

• Australia to sell A$800 million 1% 2030 bonds at 11:00a.m. in Sydney

One more thing...

The Los Angeles garment district is emptied out. Texas dairy farmers say workers aren’t showing up to milk cows. An Idaho onion grower already struggling to find enough crop hands says his labor supply is only getting worse. terrified of ICE raids

Farmworkers harvest Brussels sprouts at a farm in Oxnard, California, on Tuesday, June 17, 2025.
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