Plus: The 4th in photos | Friday, July 04, 2025
 
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By Mike Allen · Jul 04, 2025

Happy 4th! Today's newsletter, edited by Sam Baker, is 254 words, a 1-min. read. Thanks to Mickey Meece for copy editing.
 
 
1 big thing: Epic travel weekend
 
A bar chart that shows estimated U.S. flights per day during Fourth of July week. Flights peak at 51,284 on July 3 and drop to a low of 35,066 on July 4. Flight numbers rise again to 50,128 by July 7, indicating travel dips on the holiday itself.
Source: Department of Transportation. Chart: Axios Visuals

This will likely be the busiest July 4 holiday for air travel in 15 years, according to the Transportation Department's estimates.

  • It's estimating 50,000 flights on Monday.
  • TSA said separately that it's anticipating 18.5 million travelers to take to the skies between July 1 and July 7.
  • Another 72 million people were expected to take a road trip of at least 50 miles, per AAA.