Image

Daily News Brief

October 9, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering Israel and Hamas’s agreement on the first phase of U.S. President Donald Trump’s peace plan, as well as...

  • China’s new rare earth export controls

  • Germany’s proposal to shoot down rogue drones
  • Madagascar’s protest standoff
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Israel and Hamas have agreed to the first phase of a peace plan that could pave the way to ending their two-year war. The initial terms include a hostage deal and partial Israeli troop withdrawal in Gaza, Trump announced on social media yesterday. The two sides are preparing for a hostage-prisoner exchange in the coming days, while Israel’s military said it would soon “transition to adjusted deployment lines.” World leaders celebrated the news and the prospect of peace, as did people on the streets of Israel and Gaza. Trump described the agreement as the first phase toward carrying out his twenty-point peace plan, though there were no immediate announcements on its later and more contentious phases.

 

The latest. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he will convene his government today to approve the ceasefire and hostage release deal. Hamas described the deal it had agreed to in even broader scope, saying it also included an end to the war, the withdrawal of Israeli forces, and the entry of humanitarian aid. The final list of Palestinian prisoners to be released has not yet been agreed on, Hamas said. Both sides are expected to sign the agreement today.  

 

What comes next. European and Arab foreign ministers are meeting in Paris today to discuss the plan’s implementation. Humanitarian organizations have called for an immediate surge of aid into Gaza. However, no announcement has yet been made on the final stages of Trump’s plan, which calls for Hamas to disarm and have no governance role in Gaza. Hamas pushed back against those demands in a public statement last week. Trump said he might travel to the Middle East over the weekend for the hostage release. 

 
 

“Whether this leads to an end to the war remains an open question. Certainly, Israelis and Palestinians hope that is the case and President Donald Trump has made clear that he sees the hostage deal as the end. The challenge is now the implementation of the president’s twenty-point plan, which requires Hamas to disarm, the establishment of an international security force, and new governance structures in Gaza that do not include Hamas. It also envisions a Palestinian state. These are tough conditions for Hamas and Israel.”

—Senior Fellow Steven A. Cook tells CFR.org

 

U.S. Aid to Israel in Four Charts

U.S. and Israeli army officers talk in front a US Patriot missile defense system.

Jack Guez/Getty Images

Israel has long been the leading recipient of U.S. foreign aid, including military assistance. That aid has come under increased scrutiny over the course of Israel’s conflicts with Hamas and Iran, CFR editors write in this Backgrounder.

 
 

Across the Globe

China’s rare earth controls. The Chinese government added five rare earth elements and multiple types of mineral processing equipment to its export control list, tightening its restrictions over the materials three weeks before Trump is set to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping about trade. On the flip side, U.S. lawmakers called earlier this week for Washington to press partner countries to join U.S. export controls on chip equipment to China.

 

German policy on drones. Germany’s cabinet approved a draft law yesterday that would allow police to shoot down rogue drones. The legislation is awaiting parliamentary approval. The proposal comes after European countries blamed Russia for multiple airspace violations in recent weeks, and after unidentified drones grounded flights at Munich Airport last Thursday and Friday.

 

India-UK missile deal. The United Kingdom (UK) will sell some $468 million worth of missiles to India, both governments announced today during UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit to New Delhi. The project is expected to create more than seven hundred jobs in Northern Ireland. Starmer traveled with more than one hundred business, university, and cultural leaders in the hopes of striking deals that build on a July trade agreement. He also discussed the ongoing war in Ukraine. 

 

Future U.S. chip investment. Annual semiconductor investment in the United States is expected to outpace that in China, South Korea, and Taiwan beginning in 2027, according to a forecast from industry group SEMI. Its analysts credited U.S. policies for encouraging more domestic chip manufacturing and surging chip demand driven by artificial intelligence (AI). 

 

Warning on AI. An AI-fueled bubble in global markets could burst, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and a risk monitoring body at the Bank of England each warned yesterday. They both likened the current moment to the lead-up to the 2000 dot-com crash. U.S. Federal Reserve officials have refrained from similar warnings, with the San Francisco Fed president saying this week that even if investors get lower-than-expected returns, the AI boom still “leaves us with something productive.”

 

Plutonium deal stepback. Russia’s lower house voted yesterday to officially withdraw from an already-suspended deal with the United States on weapons-grade plutonium disposal. Russia’s deputy foreign minister said the deal could not be restored because “the strategic environment has changed.” He also said the momentum toward a Ukraine peace deal generated at the August meeting with Trump in Alaska was “largely gone.”

 

Madagascar protestors. President Andry Rajoelina asked supporters and some anti-government demonstrators yesterday to give him a year to fix the country’s problems, including persistent electricity outages. He would resign if he fails to do so, he told a town hall meeting. However, some protesters did not attend the meeting and have vowed to continue demonstrating. They have called for the removal of some government officials.

 

Pope Leo’s first major text. In his first high-level guiding document to the world’s Catholics, Pope Leo today called for the eradication of “unjust” economic structures and continued care for migrants and refugees. Pope Francis started work on the document in the final months of his life, and Leo said he was “happy to make this document my own.”

 
 

Protests Arrive in Madagascar

A person gestures during a nationwide youth-led protest against frequent power outages and water shortages, in Antananarivo, Madagascar on October 4, 2025.

Zo Andrianjafy/Reuters

Poor public service provision, poverty, and inequality have made Rajoelina's government the latest target of Gen Z demonstrations, CFR Senior Fellow Michelle Gavin writes for Africa in Transition.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, the Taliban foreign minister begins a visit to India.

  • Today, Vietnam’s Communist Party chief begins a trip to North Korea.

  • Today, Seychelles begins its presidential election runoff.

  • Tomorrow, G20 trade ministers meet in South Africa.
 
 

From Historical Research to Foreign Affairs

Illustration of CFR fellow Max Boot.

Photo collage by Lucky Benson

Experience writing newspaper articles, history books, and presidential policy platforms all feed into Senior Fellow Max Boot’s analysis of U.S. foreign policy, he told CFR’s Ivana Saric for this article.

 
 

Council on Foreign Relations

58 East 68th Street, New York, NY 10065

1777 F Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006

Was this forwarded to you? Subscribe to the Daily News Brief

FacebookTwitterInstagramLinkedInYouTube

Manage Your Email Preferences

View in Browser