A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

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Morning Bid Europe

Morning Bid Europe

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

By Tom Westbrook, Deputy Financial Markets Editor

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more European market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

"We're in negotiations right now," U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters at the White House, boasting that the Iranians had made a concession "worth a tremendous amount of money", about which he gave no further details.

"It ‌was a very nice thing they did," he said.

 

 

Today's Market News

  • Israel strikes Tehran as Trump says US negotiating to end war
  • Australia and EU seal trade deal, seek to cut reliance on China for critical minerals
  • Denmark's Frederiksen bruised in election, coalition talks loom
  • French stats agency trims growth outlook as Iran war lifts inflation
  • Iran war starts to hit global economy, business surveys show
 

Markets remain hesitant

People look on at the scene following Iranian missile barrages in central Israel, amid the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, March 24, 2026. REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun

The assertion is unconfirmed by Iran and in fact Iran's official news agency quoted an armed forces spokesperson saying the U.S. is "negotiating with itself". But the tone has sent oil lower and stocks higher in the Asia session, though not by massive margins.

Israel, meanwhile, struck Tehran on Wednesday, which semi-official Iranian reports said hit a residential area, and Iran has ⁠denied it is in direct talks to end or pause hostilities.

The New York Times reported on Tuesday that Washington sent Iran a 15-point plan to end the war. Israel's Channel 12, quoting three sources, said the U.S. was seeking a month-long ceasefire to discuss the 15-point plan.

A source familiar with the matter confirmed that the U.S. had sent a plan to Iran but provided no further details.

Markets are hesitating to run too far for a few reasons, one being the risk negotiations are either not substantive or go nowhere and the other that economic damage deepens by the day.

Graphics are produced by Reuters

 

Gold undermined, and cash is king

Euro zone private sector growth has nearly stalled this month as inflation expectations ‌surged ⁠and delivery times soared, adding to evidence that the bloc is already suffering a tangible drag from the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran.

Asian currencies have been under pressure in anticipation of hits to the region's energy-importing economies being lasting as Mideast oil and gas infrastructure has sustained damage.

South Korea's National Pension Service will work to raise its strategic hedging ⁠ratio over the long term to help stabilise the fragile won, Reuters reported on Wednesday, citing sources aware of the fund's discussions with the government and the central bank.

Gold made some recovery with the mood but remains on course for its largest ⁠monthly fall since 2008 and an example of how few places investors have had to hide since the war began.

A traditional safe haven, it has been knocked by profit-taking from a rocketing two-year rally.

The one ⁠thing powering along is cash. U.S. money market funds have grown by around $60 billion since February 28 to a new record of $7.86 trillion.

  

 
 

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

  • News: Mideast headlines   
  • Economics: British CPI, German IFO, European consumer confidence
  • Earnings: Carnival Corp
 
 

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

 

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