When SpaceX finally goes public, it will double the number of publicly traded companies in Elon Musk’s portfolio. But rather than seeing twice as much opportunity to cash in on a Musk-led enterprise, investors and analysts instead see red flags.
“This cannot be a positive for Tesla,” Joe Gilbert, portfolio manager at Integrity Asset Management,
told Bloomberg, adding: “Musk has proved to be able to balance multiple initiatives simultaneously in the past, but it feels like SpaceX is his new baby at the expense of Tesla.”
Tesla has had a difficult year. It experienced its first full-year revenue decline in its history last year. Despite improved sales in the first three months of this year, deliveries have fallen below analysts’ expectations. Production has continued to outpace sales.
SpaceX tells a different story. The company’s IPO prospectus reveals full-year revenue of $18.7 billion in 2025, a 33% year-over-year increase from 2024—despite growing net losses.
SpaceX being the new belle of the ball will only mount pressure on Tesla, according to Dave Mazza, CEO of Roundhill Investments. Investors bought into Tesla in part because of its ambitions around AI and robotics. SpaceX’s success could undermine Tesla’s vision.
And what of Musk’s divided attention? Mazza said that risk is present for all of Musk’s projects.
“That concern is already priced in, as Musk’s divided attention has been a headline risk for years,” Mazza said. “The more relevant question is execution: Tesla needs to deliver on robotaxi and autonomy on its own timeline, and SpaceX going public doesn’t change that calculus one way or the other.”
—Sasha Rogelberg