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For tomorrow’s episode of The Insider I will be talking to Yuval Noah Harari. He’s a man of big ideas and bold predictions. His books, which have sold millions of copies, are bracing romps through great swathes of human history. Unlike many other historians, Mr Harari is willing to make equally sweeping assertions about what the future might entail. Every conversation I have had with him has been a mind-stretching experience.
This week we have also been grappling with some fairly mind-stretching material in The Economist—our cover story, which will be published tomorrow, looks at whether AIs could become conscious and the dangers if they are treated as such. (You can see a draft of the cover design we’re planning to use below.) Mr Harari has thought deeply about the impact of artificial intelligence and I can’t think of a better person with whom to discuss how the AI era might reshape our societies, up-end power structures and, indeed, potentially change the nature of humanity itself.
I want to start by getting a general sense of how troubled Mr Harari is by the prospect of an AI future—and how radically different he thinks it will be from today. Elon Musk, whom I
interviewed a month ago,
told me that in ten years time he expected AIs to have far surpassed human intelligence, that the world would be in “an age of amazing abundance” but that it is unlikely that humans will be in control. Does Mr Harari agree? I’d be surprised if he struck such a cheerful tone. “If we mishandle it”, he writes in his latest book, “Nexus”, “AI might extinguish not only the human dominion on earth but the light of consciousness itself, turning the universe into a realm of utter darkness.” “Nexus” also grapples with the question of who will hold the most power in an AI future and I’m keen to ask him about the conclusions he’s drawn. Why does he think AIs may end up in control? How will they do it? And what
will it mean to be a human in an AI-controlled world? |