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Nearly three years after Russian tanks rolled into Ukraine, the outlook is again grim. Russia is expending huge amounts of weaponry and human life to make small-but-steady territorial gains to the nearly one-fifth of Ukraine it already controls. Ukraine, meanwhile, is struggling to minimize losses, maintain morale and persuade allies that, with more military aid, it can turn the tide.
As this brutal war of attrition grinds toward its 1,000th day, neither side seems eager to negotiate. President-elect Donald Trump has said he could quickly end the war, though it is unclear how or in whose favor he might tip the scales. For Ukraine, the key to any cease-fire would be guarantees from the West that it won’t allow Russia to re-invade in the future.
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