Rate Watch | European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde takes the stage at a Frankfurt banking conference today as Europe charts a path ahead under the looming risks of a second Donald Trump presidency. The remarks might be the most significant she has delivered since Trump’s win and her comments may acknowledge a growing consensus toward a prolonged push to reduce borrowing costs. Team Trump | Some EU nations want the bloc to urgently engage with Trump’s transition team in order to stave off a potential tit-for-tat trade war, we’re told. Trade ministers yesterday discussed how to prepare for Trump’s protectionist agenda, even as the bloc prepares possible retaliatory steps. Trump’s presidency could also provoke volatility in the $7.5 trillion-a-day foreign exchange market. Disruptive Path | His return is a wakeup call for Europe to implement long-delayed reforms, according to the central bank chiefs of its top two economies. “Either Europe continues down the path of low growth, low productivity and low innovation,” Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel and Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau wrote in a joint op-ed in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. “Or we join forces to pursue an ambitious, even disruptive path.” Criminal Test | EU nations are sorting out how to respond to the decision by the International Criminal Court to issue an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes in Gaza. Member states are theoretically obliged to arrest him, but it’s up to individual governments. The Netherlands has said it will respect ICC warrants, while Hungary said the ICC’s move was “shameful.” Strikes Ahead | Volkswagen workers across Germany plan to stage mass walkouts starting early next month after labor leaders and management failed to reach an agreement over how to slash costs at the carmaker’s namesake brand. The sides are struggling to agree on how to cope with a drop in demand for electric vehicles, higher operation costs and increasing competition from China. |