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Homes crisis causes concern for future
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Hi, this is Allen Wan in Shanghai.

I was recently in Zhengzhou, a manufacturing hub for iPhones, with a colleague to check on the city’s efforts to end its part of a lingering nationwide housing crisis and threatens to further torpedo the world’s second-biggest economy.

Zhengzhou is unique in that it was one of the first cities to suffer a crash, and it has been among the most aggressive in coming up with measures to revive its property market and achieve its ambition of advancing to megacity status like, say, Chongqing.

The problem is simple: little demand, much too much supply. With home values falling and families relying on real estate for almost 80% of their wealth at the peak, it’s no wonder consumers are unwilling to spend while deflation remains persistent.

Many Chinese cities have eased property curbs to spur buying but Zhengzhou has gone further by buying unsold units from developers at a discount and repurposing them as affordable homes. The city has purchased more than 100,000 units in the past few years at a cost of several billion dollars. Listen to the Big Take Asia Podcast about the scene in Zhengzhou here and read the story here

That’s a drop in the bucket compared with the tens of millions of homes sitting empty nationwide. Still, some observers laud Zhengzhou as a model of reform and officials from other cities have been looking to emulate it.

Perhaps that’s a bit premature.

During our trip, we checked out several projects, some of which have gradually resumed construction after getting funding through Xi Jinping's 4 trillion yuan ($548 billion) plan to lend to developers so they can finish projects.

At one development called Creekside Cilla, work had in fact resumed. But nearby was another that apparently didn’t get that precious money so no construction was happening. Instead, locals were planting vegetable gardens on grounds meant for new homes.

Then there’s the tricky matter of demand. Of the seven sales offices we visited, most were empty. In one, run by the distressed developer Country Garden, just a handful of customers were milling around a sleek showroom, next to giant signs assuring them that the projects were on the funding list.

Some economists think China’s real estate crisis will be a drag on growth for at least five more years. If that happens, dire predictions that the country faces a lost decade similar to 1990s Japan may be on target.

These are some of our favorite reads, listens and watches from the past year. Enjoy!

Purge On

Xi indicated this week that purges were a feature, not a bug, of the ruling Communist Party’s system – a pretty clear sign if any were needed that we can expect more officials to fall from grace due to corruption.

“Changes in the external environment and in the party membership will inevitably lead to various conflicts and problems within the party,” he said in a speech earlier this year, though the remarks were only recently made public.

Using somewhat macabre language, Xi said it was sometimes necessary to turn “the blade inward to ensure that the party is always full of vigor and vitality.” Read our story about the Chinese leader’s views here.

The remarks show that Xi doesn’t see the sweeping anti-corruption crackdowns as embarrassing for his party, which has an unchallenged grip on the nation of 1.4 billion people. Instead, he views them as a way to keep everyone on their toes.

They also put a new spin on the corruption-busting that the Chinese leader has done to root out dirty officials and eliminate rivals since taking office more than a decade ago. That endeavor has ensnared a record number of senior figures for two straight years, and set off a broad purge that’s still roiling the military — one that the US thinks may hinder Beijing’s modernization goals for its armed forces.

Leaders around the country got a pretty grim reminder of how dangerous being corrupt can be when China carried out a rare execution of an official this week.

The government of the Asian nation tends to avoid capital punishment for officials, usually sentencing them to what amounts to life in prison.

But 64-year-old Li Jianping, may have pushed his luck because his case somehow involved the whopping equivalent of $412 million even though he was just the party chief of an industrial zone in Hohhot, the capital of Inner Mongolia.

Kill the chicken to scare the monkey, goes a phrase in Chinese that works out to making an example of someone to deter others. That seems to sum up one aspect of Xi’s style pretty well.

Back in the Saddle

$809.6 billion
That's how much the combined fortunes of the nation’s 55 wealthiest tracked by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index have risen to since the beginning of January. The figure signals the nation's rich are starting to recover their wealth after three years of losses from the property crisis and Xi's push for common prosperity.

Behind the Great Firewall

A weekly look at the big water cooler news in China.

This week, people in China did a bit of venting about salary cuts and stagnant wages hitting certain sectors of the economy.

It started with a blogger sharing a clip on Weibo that cited several examples of highly educated young people struggling to land good-paying jobs. The blogger said he hasn’t gotten any offers after applying to nearly 40 companies even though he earned a postgraduate degree abroad and has experience at top tech firms.

That set people to talking about salaries falling back to around 3,500 yuan, or about $480, a month – a level from a bygone era that everyone would hope is gone for good.

That pay has fallen so low isn’t entirely true, of course, considering that urban wages have risen over the years. But people are dealing with a difficult job market, something Xi himself has acknowledged, so they can be forgiven a bit of exaggeration.

“I earned 6,000 yuan a month working at a bank 10 years ago,” one person wrote, in a comment that got thousands of likes. “Now I get only 4,800 yuan after hitting all my targets.”

China’s labor market has indeed seen layoffs and some salary cuts as the economy slowed, dragged down by that property crisis. Regulatory tightening in sectors like tech and finance has made matters worse. The jobless rate for young people remains elevated after hitting a record high last year.

The discussions went a bit too far for China’s sensitive censors. They’re always keen to make sure that a trickle of internet discontent doesn’t turn into a torrent of actual protest on the streets.

Yet given there’s some signs the government has money worries of its own, maybe spare a thought for the humble, anonymous censor. Who knows, maybe they’re also unhappy about their pay these days.

Anyway, censors didn’t entirely block the conversation but they did remove it from a list of hot topics to keep it from gaining too much momentum.

That’s a sign they know comments like “people are lucky enough to have a job right now” were hitting just a bit too close to home.

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