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Dec 20, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Dana Nickel

Photo illustration.

Illustration by Claudine Hellmuth/POLITICO (source images iStock)

Happy Friday Rulers! I hope everyone is having a good holiday season so far. For the final edition of Women Rule this year, I talked to experts about what they’re calling a “statistical rarity”: female mass shooters. 

Let’s get into it: 

Two people were killed and six more injured when a teenager opened fire at the Abundant Life Christian School in Madison, Wisconsin on Monday. Police said the suspect died by a self-inflicted gunshot wound.

Monday’s deadly school shooting brought the number of people killed in the U.S. on school property this year to 13. The K-12 School Shooting Database indicates that there were more than 320 shootings at schools in 2024. (This data includes when a gun is drawn, fired or when a bullet hits school property, “regardless of the number of victims,” day of the week or time.)

While shootings are considered commonplace in the U.S., one aspect of this incident was unusual: The suspected shooter was identified by police as a 15-year-old girl. Experts tell Women Rule that female shooters, whether in schools or otherwise, are rare.

According to an analysis by The Washington Post, just 4 percent of school shooters are female. The shooter is the ninth female student to commit a school shooting since the 1999 shooting at Columbine High School. (The Post tracks shootings that occur during the school day on K-12 campuses where students are present.)

The vast majority “of mass shootings are committed by men,” explains James Alan Fox, a criminology professor at Northeastern University and an expert on mass killings. “Keep in mind that 90 percent of murders are committed by men. … Homicides are a male-dominated activity, especially when it involves guns.”

Fox has been studying mass killings since the early 1980s and served on former President Bill Clinton's advisory committee on school shootings. He tells Women Rule that one reason men are more likely to commit mass shootings is their access to and knowledge around guns.

“Men are much more comfortable around guns,” he says. “They’re more likely to be hunters, more likely to have a military background, more likely to be trained on [how to use] guns.”

Kelly Drane, research director for the Giffords Law Center, agrees: “Generally speaking, this is becoming less and less true. But historically, the vast majority of gun owners have been male. A gun is an essential component to commit a mass shooting. If you’re thinking about someone who has the broadest access to the means to commit this violence, you’re talking about men.”

Mass shooters may also find inspiration in previous shootings, studies show, which increases the likelihood that males will potentially “see themselves” in other shooters.

“One thing we know about mass shootings in particular is that many mass shooters are studying the behavior of prior mass shooters,” Drane says. “Mass shooters look at people that have committed mass shootings before them as they’re planning their attacks.”

“In terms of copycating, the tendency is greater when the follower shares characteristics with the role model,” Fox adds.

Another reason a woman mass shooter is so rare, according to Drane, could be related to how women handle conflict.

“More generally, when we think about how people … deal with conflict, men tend to be more externalizing,” she says. “Women tend to be a bit more internalizing.”

Studies have also shown that men tend to express “physical, overt and direct aggression,” and express anger outwardly more often than women do.

While the investigation into Monday’s shooting is still ongoing, the shooter’s motivations are not immediately clear. Law enforcement said the motive appears to be a “combination of factors.”

Drane tells Women Rule that regardless of a shooter’s gender, there are “many opportunities for intervention.”

“The first thing I think about is that a 15-year-old should not have access to a gun,” she says. “I think there are really critical laws, and not just the laws, but people actually doing the behavior of keeping guns away from children is a really important step we can all take to help prevent school shootings.”

PROGRAMMING NOTE: We’ll be off for the next two weeks for the holidays but back to our normal schedule on Friday, Jan. 10, 2025.

 

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POLITICO Special Report

Rep. Gerry Connolly speaks to reporters.

Francis Chung/POLITICO

Generational change meets its limits with Connolly’s win over AOC by Nicholas Wu and Daniella Diaz for POLITICO: “[Alexandria] Ocasio-Cortez’s allies had projected early confidence in the race and had hoped to capitalize on a post-election appetite for change in the caucus. But while other ranking members largely fell to or stepped aside for younger challengers, members still largely felt it wasn’t right to bypass 74-year-old [Gerry] Connolly for the 35-year-old progressive darling. And despite the calls for a shift in leadership and some concerns about Connolly’s recent cancer diagnosis, House Democrats aren’t totally willing to abandon their attachment to seniority.”

Chrystia Freeland quits Trudeau’s Cabinet by Nick Taylor-Vaisley for POLITICO: “Nobody else in [Justin] Trudeau’s Cabinet matched the international profile of [Chrystia] Freeland, who cultivated a global rolodex of business and political leaders over 30 years in journalism. Trudeau recruited Freeland in 2013. She eventually served as international trade minister and foreign minister before taking on the finance role in 2020. She was a major player in Canada’s renegotiation of NAFTA during the first Trump administration.

More recently, when Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Freeland — who has Ukrainian-Canadian heritage — became a leading global advocate for Kyiv.”

Fear, hope and bitterness: Syria’s refugees contemplate life after Bashar Assad by Clothilde Goujard for POLITICO EU: “Shereen Mankash had come to accept she’d never be able to return to her country, but now everything has changed for her.

The 43-year-old Damascene has spent the past week cycling through an array of emotions: elation, shock, fear. Added to those has been a sense of dimming hope, as she constantly checks her phone for news of friends and relatives who had disappeared into the Syrian regime’s brutal prisons. ‘We are happy, but we’re also confused,’ she said. ‘What are we going to do, leave? Or are we going to stay?’”

Number of the Week

The U.S. government will pay nearly $116 million to resolve lawsuits over rampant sexual abuse at a women’s prison in California.

Read more here.

MUST READS

Gisele Pelicot leaves the Avignon courthouse.

Lewis Joly/AP

Gisèle Pelicot: How an ordinary woman shook attitudes to rape in France: by John Andrew Harding for BBC: “As France digests the implications of its largest rape trial, which is due to end this week, it's clear that many French women – and not just those at the courthouse in Avignon – are pondering two fundamental questions.

The first question is visceral. What might it say about French men – some would say all men – that 50 of them, in one small, rural neighborhood, were apparently willing to accept a casual invitation to have sex with an unknown woman as she lay, unconscious, in a stranger's bedroom?

The second question emerges from the first: how far will this trial go in helping to tackle an epidemic of sexual violence and of drug-facilitated rape, and in challenging deeply held prejudices and ignorance about shame and consent?”


For many rural women, finding maternity care outweighs abortion access concern by Lillian Mongeau Hughes for KFF Health News in partnership with 19th: “Nationally, reproductive health care services of all types tend to be limited for people in rural areas, even within states that protect abortion access. More than two-thirds of people in “maternity care deserts” — all of which are in rural counties — must drive more than a half-hour to get obstetric care, according to a 2024 March of Dimes report. For people in the Southern states where lawmakers installed abortion bans, abortion care can be up to 700 miles away, according to a data analysis by Axios.”

Myanmar’s War Has Forced Doctors and Nurses Into Prostitution by Sui-Lee Wee for The New York Times: “It is hard to track how many women are involved in the trade, but women plying the streets have become much more apparent. In interviews, half a dozen women — four white-collar workers who have turned to prostitution and two rights activists — said that more educated women are now having sex with men to make a living.

Following the coup, women were at the forefront of protests. They marched on the streets and hung up their sarongs as a hex against soldiers. There was a flicker of hope over dismantling Myanmar’s deep-rooted patriarchy. But the rise in prostitution is another blow to the status of women, who have been sexually abused by the military for decades.”

Quote of the Week

“This war has irreversibly changed my life. We have been displaced repeatedly, losing my education, my friends. The fear we live with is beyond words.” – Leen Nahal

Read more from UN Women here.

on the move

Alice Lugo, a senior counsel at Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, has joined the board of directors of the Congressional Hispanic Leadership Institute. (h/t POLITICO Influence)

Erin Butler is now a legislative assistant for Rep. Jim Himes (D-Conn.), covering his Financial Services Committee work. She previously was a legislative correspondent for Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.). (h/t POLITICO Playbook)

Elizabeth Goldstein, who has been president of the Municipal Art Society of New York since 2017, is retiring at the end of the month. (h/t New York Playbook)

 

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