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The Los Angeles fires are continuing to rage. At least two rounds of vicious, dry Santa Ana winds are expected to blast through Southern California early this week, bringing powerful gusts that will challenge fire crews struggling to contain two destructive blazes and likely force thousands more residents to evacuate. Keep up with the latest news here.

Today’s newsletter looks at the unexpected trade off of Colombia’s bold push to go green: gas imports. You can read and share the full story on Bloomberg.com. For unlimited access to climate and energy news, please subscribe  

Unintended climate consequences

By Andrea Jaramillo 

While some leaders of fossil-fuel-producing nations have claimed they’re taking action on climate change, few have made a move as bold as Colombian President Gustavo Petro

Since 2022 he’s refused to sign new drilling contracts, saying fighting global warming is a “matter of life and death.” The hard-line approach is part of his plan to transform Colombia’s economy and quit its dependence on hydrocarbons.

It’s made Petro the key figure of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty, endorsed by a small group of nations including Colombia. “The world is starting to realize that if you want to say that you’re a climate leader then you need to actually act on fossil-fuel production,” says Alex Rafalowicz, director of the treaty.  

Walking away from oil, Colombia’s main export, requires a titanic shift in the economy, and the country is starting to see consequences for both energy markets and, subsequently, the climate from its ban on new licenses. Colombia is facing a natural gas shortage and so it’s now forced to increasingly turn to liquified natural gas imports.

A tanker docks at the liquified natural gas terminal near Cartagena Photographer: Carlos Parra Rios/Bloomberg

Liquefying gas, a process that requires cooling it to -260F (-162C), and shipping it thousands of kilometers to the Andean nation, has a higher carbon footprint than producing the gas domestically. Critics say this runs contrary to Petro’s climate change fighting credentials.   

To be sure, Colombia’s gas reserves had already been dropping before Petro came into power in 2022. But instead of pushing to find new sources, he not only blocked new licenses to explore for wells but also stopped two pilots to extract gas using hydraulic fracturing. This could have helped bring new sources of gas online fast enough to avoid a shortfall.

Energy Minister Andres Camacho insists Colombia needs to overcome its dependence on fossil fuels and downplays the need for imports. Yet with the country relying on gas to run its thermal plants and factories, and to provide a majority of homeowners with fuel for cooking, there’s growing concern on the impact expensive imports will have on Colombia’s already beleaguered economy. An industry group, known as Naturgas, estimates that households may see their gas utility bills increase by around 20%. 

There is now growing concern that Colombia has become a cautionary tale for pushing green initiatives too fast and too soon. An energy transition requires time to carry out investments and make structural changes, according to Alejandro Lucio, who heads Bogota-based energy consultancy Óptima Consultores. “It’s called a transition because it takes time,” he said. “If you force it, it will have unintended consequences.”

Read the full story on Bloomberg.com. 

Record number

2.1 million
This is how many metric tons of LNG that Colombia imported last year. 

Undermining efforts

" Colombia is giving a lesson to the world on what not to do in terms of energy transition."
Camilo Prieto
Professor of climate change and public health at Javeriana University in Bogotá

Los Angeles fires rage

By Lauren Rosenthal and Laura Curtis

At least two rounds of vicious, dry Santa Ana winds are expected to blast through Southern California early this week, bringing powerful gusts that will challenge fire crews struggling to contain two destructive blazes and likely force thousands more residents to evacuate.

After a brief respite from the winds over the weekend, a shifting pressure gradient is set to send bone-dry gusts of up to 70 miles (113 kilometers) per hour through foothill communities in Los Angeles and Ventura counties from early Tuesday through to Wednesday morning.

Firefighters spray water over a burnt hillside in the Mandeville Canyon neighborhood during the aftermath of the Palisades Fire in the Los Angeles area on Sunday. Photographer: Kyle Grillot/Bloomberg

The National Weather Service has issued a “particularly dangerous situation” warning — its most severe alert — for Malibu, the San Fernando Valley, and large portions of Ventura County, due to damaging winds and low humidity. Nearly 9.3 million people face critical fire-weather conditions, the US Storm Prediction Center said in an advisory.

While the upcoming Santa Ana winds are not expected to be as strong as the windstorm that ripped through Los Angeles last week, areas under warning “will have a high risk for large fires with very rapid fire spread,” according to an advisory issued by the National Weather Service late Sunday.

High winds will limit opportunities for firefighters to make progress against the fast-moving Palisades and Eaton fires, which have left at least 24 people dead and consumed more than 12,000 buildings in the Pacific Palisades and Altadena neighborhoods of Los Angeles.

Read the full story on Bloomberg.com. For weather insights sent straight to your inbox, subscribe to the Weather Watch newsletter.

Worth a listen

In December, Europe’s Copernicus weather service announced that it was “virtually certain” that 2024 would be the hottest year ever. What’s more, the global average temperature last year appears to have surpassed 1.5C for the first time, blowing past a threshold that’s taken on enormous significance in the fight against climate change. Does that mean governments, corporations, and activists recalibrate their climate goals? Akshat Rathi speaks with reporters Eric Roston and Zahra Hirji about what this new reality means. Listen now, and subscribe on Apple,  Spotify, or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.

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