President Donald Trump kept people guessing about tariffs for almost all of Inauguration Day, before dropping a bombshell. Trump held off on unveiling China-specific tariffs on his first day in office, instead ordering his administration to address unfair trade practices globally and investigate whether Beijing had complied with a deal signed during his first term. For much of the US holiday on Monday, stock futures gained on the apparent gradualist approach, while the dollar declined. Then, in the Oval Office just before 8 p.m. local time, at what would have been for many other presidents a perfunctory interaction with the press after a long day of pageantry, Trump held forth for about 45 minutes. Read More: Trump’s Tariff Shifts Are Whiplash Warning for Corporate America Among the news that he made: that he plans to enact previously threatened tariffs of as much as 25% on Mexico and Canada by Feb. 1, reiterating his contention that America’s largest trading partners are letting undocumented migrants and drugs flood into the country. Jittery Markets The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso, which had rallied earlier Monday on signs Trump would hold off from immediately imposing sweeping tariffs, each fell as much as 1.4% against the greenback. Bloomberg’s dollar gauge bounced back — a sudden reversal that underscored just how jittery market participants are on any news around duties and their impact on the global economy. Meanwhile, investors in Chinese assets breathed a sigh of relief that the world’s No. 2 economy had avoided Trump’s tariff plans, at least for now. He also temporarily halted a ban on TikTok in the US, granting the company and its Chinese parent ByteDance more time to reach a deal for the popular app. Read More: South Africa’s Kganyago Says Trump Tariffs Pose Inflation Risk But Trump didn’t let Brussels rest too easily after an action-packed first day back in the White House. He reiterated a call for the European Union to buy more American oil and gas if the bloc wants to avoid tariffs. “The one thing they can do quickly is buy our oil and gas,” he told reporters. “We will straighten that out with tariffs, or they have to buy our oil and gas.” - Here’s a line from the Bloomberg Economics hot take: “Tariffs delayed don’t mean tariffs denied. Ultimately, Trump’s desire to rebalance trade relations, raise tariff revenue to offset the cost of extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and slow China’s rise as a geopolitical rival mean we do expect a sharp increase in duties on US imports.”
Related Reading: —Eric Martin in Washington Click here for more of Bloomberg.com’s most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping. |