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Jan 21, 2025 View in browser
 
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By Jordan Wolman

THE BIG IDEA

President Donald Trump, left, and Vice President JD Vance, second right, pose with sabers after using them to cut a cake as first lady Melania Trump, center, and Usha Vance, right, watch at the Commander in Chief Ball, Monday, Jan. 20, 2025, in Washington.

President Donald Trump could take a sword to Europe's green agenda. | Alex Brandon/AP

SURFING THE RED WAVE — As President Donald Trump moves to erase all traces of U.S. climate policy through a tsunami of executive orders, Republicans and business groups are hoping to ride the wave across the Atlantic to stymie Brussels’ green agenda, your host reports with Marianne Gros.

Trump’s GOP trifecta in Washington is emboldening allies who want to drive the European Union away from far-reaching climate laws that they say threaten competitiveness and impose undue costs on U.S. companies.

While the Biden administration expressed some concern about the extraterritorial impact of the European rules, the dawn of Republican dominance is adding fuel to the fight as Trump vows to reshape relations with allies and rivals alike.

“Donald Trump is America first. And if there is any example of a foreign regulation that puts America last, it's the EU's [climate agenda],” said Rep. Andy Barr (R-Ky.), a House Financial Services Committee member who met with European officials late last year to discuss Brussels’ “regulation factory.” “An America first agenda will animate ferocious opposition to a European Union that attempts to impose their costly, burdensome regulations on American firms,” he added.

New EU rules compelling corporations to report on their environmental footprint and exposure to climate risk and a law mandating that they identify and root out environmental and social harms in their supply chains both require compliance by large companies that do business in Europe, including U.S.-based businesses.

The goal is to crack down on companies’ contribution to planet-warming pollution by handing regulators, investors and consumers critical data to promote peer-to-peer competition among businesses to green their operations.

Facing questions about the rules' impact on the bloc’s economy and competitiveness, the European Commission announced in November that it would reopen the laws to simplify them. While it’s not yet clear whether the effort will simply be a streamlining of the laws or a broader rollback like the push to weaken anti-deforestation rules, U.S.-based officials and companies see it as an opportunity to lobby Brussels to ensure the changes are beneficial to them.

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce is leading the charge, warning Congress last month that “the EU is imposing undue regulatory measures that have a direct impact on the competitiveness of American firms” with its due diligence program and asking U.S. policymakers to “engage directly with counterparts in Brussels.”

The Chamber is also leading court cases against a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission disclosure rule that is all but dead and the landmark reporting program enacted by California, where regulators have announced a one-year delay of enforcement.

“There’s a window of opportunity here to get to rational policy developments in Brussels,” said Tom Quaadman, executive vice president of the Chamber’s Center for Capital Markets Competitiveness.

On the flip side, Europe still has its climate-minded constituencies to placate after bitter legislative fights to enact the laws in the first place.

“We are really concerned about a bigger revamp,” said Manon Dufour, executive director of global climate think tank E3G’s Brussels bureau.

Barr doesn’t think European officials are getting the memo about how the rules will make the bloc less competitive.

But competitiveness cuts both ways, said Emily Pierce, who previously worked in the SEC’s Office of International Affairs and is currently a policy officer at carbon accounting firm Persefoni.

While Europe’s introspection opens a window for the new U.S. administration to advocate for reducing the requirements, dropping all requirements for foreign companies isn’t necessarily in its best interest, Pierce said, adding that it could instead provide “an opportunity to find more pragmatic cross-border approaches.”

“Europe applies these rules to non-EU companies to level the playing field,” Pierce said. “The current pressure is about European competitiveness, and dropping the extraterritorial application would not advance that agenda. It would actually harm it."

WASHINGTON WATCH

PARTING WITH PARIS — It took just 30 minutes after the inauguration for Trump to make good on his campaign promise to pull the U.S. out of the landmark 2015 Paris Climate Accords for a second time. And the move could be more consequential this time around, Sara Schonhardt, Zack Colman and Karl Mathiesen report.

The long-signaled step isolates the U.S. on the global stage in the fight against climate change, cementing Republican opposition to international action, jeopardizing promised aid to developing countries and causing fears that the world’s biggest economy won’t push to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

Trump took six months to formally announce withdrawal during his first term. The quicker exit this time likely eliminates hope of keeping former President Joe Biden’s promise to cut pollution by up to 66 percent by 2030.

“By leaving the Paris Agreement, this administration has abdicated its responsibility to protect the American people and our national security,” said Gina McCarthy, who served as a climate adviser under Biden and currently co-chairs the America Is All In climate coalition. “But rest assured, our states, cities, businesses, and local institutions stand ready to pick up the baton of U.S. climate leadership and do all they can — despite federal complacency — to continue the shift to a clean energy economy.”

It remains to be seen how Trump’s push away from the green transition fares in the face of clear market forces.

Renewable sources of power, such as solar and wind, were expected to generate 22 percent of U.S. electricity in 2024, up from around 15 percent in 2017. Globally, investments in clean energy were expected to be almost twice as big compared with fossil fuels last year.

“The leadership of the United States is critical in mobilizing climate finance, advancing clean energy transitions, and ensuring the equitable implementation of global climate goals,” Ali Mohamed, Kenya’s climate envoy and chair of the African Group of Negotiators, said in a statement. He urged the U.S. to “work constructively” within U.N. frameworks and other international platforms.

WE’RE IN AN EMERGENCY — Trump also used his executive authority Monday to declare an “energy emergency” as part of his goal to boost oil and gas production, lower costs for consumers and accelerate exports, Zack reports.

The U.S. had already become the world’s leading oil and gas producer during the Biden administration, but Trump sees his kickstart in the context of a broader effort to unwind clean energy that he blames for fueling inflation.

"America will be a manufacturing nation once again, and we have something that no other manufacturing nation will ever have — the largest amount of oil and gas of any country on Earth and we are going to use it,” he said at his inauguration.

Trump’s pursuit of energy dominance doesn’t extend to renewable energy sources. The White House said in a statement that the president would halt new federal leases for wind power in a shift from his first term, which saw the first federal offshore wind lease sale in U.S. history.

It is unclear which statutes or authorities Trump would rely on to promote new energy production and infrastructure development.

His orders include access to critical minerals — currently largely produced and refined in China — that are essential for manufacturing electric vehicle batteries, solar panels and other tech products.

And the orders signal the start of regulatory processes to reverse Biden administration energy policies, including fuel economy standards that favor the adoption of EVs and energy efficiency mandates on consumer items such as gas stoves and dishwashers.

YOU TELL US

GAME ON — Welcome to the Long Game, where we tell you about the latest on efforts to shape our future. Join us as we keep you in the loop on the world of sustainability.

Team Sustainability is editor Greg Mott and reporter Jordan Wolman. Reach us at gmott@politico.com and jwolman@politico.com.

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WHAT WE'RE CLICKING

— ICYMI, the World Economic Forum is underway in Davos, Switzerland, and climate protesters are doing their thing, Reuters reports.

— Morningstar data shows that investors pulled away from clean energy funds last year in the face of a Trump-fueled backlash, according to the Financial Times.

The Wall Street Journal paid a visit to a red-state Rust Belt town reaping benefits from Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act.

 

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