On Politics: Trump’s blame game is a powerful tool
It helps him explain away complex problems and pull a coalition together.
On Politics

February 3, 2025

Today’s big stories

Donald Trump is seen through the lens of a camera in the Oval Office.
President Trump’s finger-pointing has been part of his political arsenal since he announced his first presidential bid in 2015. Eric Lee/The New York Times

Why scapegoating works for Trump

President Trump has always understood the value of a simple story, whether it’s one told in a 1990s tabloid, on a 2000s reality show or from behind the lectern of the White House briefing room in 2025.

In his storytelling, there is always a villain.

After a plane and a helicopter collided last week over the Potomac River in Washington, the president blamed hiring programs that promote diversity, pointing his finger at a major target of his nascent administration.

When a man killed 10 people in a New Year’s vehicle-ramming in New Orleans, Trump, before he took office, seemed to immediately blame illegal immigration, connecting the attack back to his chief political concern without waiting to see who the attacker was: a U.S.-born American.

And as the country struggles with a fentanyl crisis, Trump has laid the blame on its neighbors and threatened tariffs as the punishment.

My colleagues and I have reported a lot on Trump’s blame game. I wrote about his targeting political opponents after the California wildfires. Peter Baker recently noted how thoroughly Trump has blown up the expectation that presidents seek unity after tragedy. Today, Erica Green looked closely at the racist undercurrent of his scapegoating.

But, to some degree, there’s a piece still unexplored: Why does Trump’s finger-pointing, which has been part of his political arsenal since he announced his first presidential bid in 2015, seem so politically effective?

I put this question to Charles Zug, an assistant professor at the Truman School of Public and Government Affairs at the University of Missouri and the author of a book about demagoguery in politics. He started his answer with a pretty simple idea.

A lot of the problems that confront American politicians and government officials don’t result from the actions of a single person or of a single group, but instead from a big, impersonal system whose failures are consequential but hard to explain. Think of the plane crash, which has raised big questions about a cascade of potential safety lapses.

“Part of what demagoguery is, is the personalization of what are, in fact, highly impersonal, systemic problems,” Zug told me. Some presidents have toggled between the personalized and the systemic, he said, but Trump has focused on the former.

“Part of his success is the sort of creation of an entire fictive, rhetorical world of enemies — you know, villains and heroes — that his supporters can buy into,” Zug said.

It’s not very satisfying to tell someone that something bad happened because they were unlucky, or because the government failed to regulate something properly, or because the state failed in some process that played out in slow motion.

“If I tell you a bad thing happened to you because there was a person out there who wanted to ruin you, to take advantage of you, not only didn’t care about you but was actively invested in your destruction — one of those stories is more likely to motivate you to do something,” Zug explained. He said those who believe Trump “end up authorizing the actions of people like Trump who end up wielding the state’s power to vindicate these people’s hopes and expectations.”

Finding a common enemy

Boiling down the country’s complex problems into simple tales of good and evil is not a tactic invented by Trump. All of history’s most successful political leaders, from the left or the right, have reached for clear narratives about heroes and villains to motivate their supporters.

Consider Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, who mobilized Democrats by blaming the nation’s woes on “millionaires and billionaires.”

But Trump has been uncommonly willing to use moments of tragedy and disaster for his political aims. And in the opening weeks of his presidency, he has gone further than recent predecessors in laying blame on vulnerable or underrepresented communities.

These moments become evidence for the arguments he made during the campaign — and the stories he told to assemble a winning coalitions of voters.

“Trump is building coalitions with scapegoats,” said Jason Stanley, a Yale philosophy professor and the author of “How Fascism Works: The Politics of Us and Them,” who referred me to the work of René Girard, a French-born intellectual who has been influential for the likes of Vice President JD Vance and the investor Peter Thiel.

Girard’s theory, Stanley said, is that scapegoating “is a way of bonding people together against a common enemy and thereby creating unity between people who otherwise would be in conflict.”

It’s not just Trump himself racing to identify villains who fit into his political worldview. Last week, a transgender Black Hawk helicopter pilot posted a “proof of life” video to Facebook in response to a hailstorm of online posts that falsely blamed her for the deadly Washington air crash.

“It is insulting to the families to try to tie this to some sort of political agenda,” she said. “They don’t deserve that. I don’t deserve this.”

One Story You Shouldn’t Miss

A web page on the site for the Centers for Disease Control that says “The page you’re looking for was not found.”
Many of the government web pages that were taken down seemed related to a Trump administration executive order to end programs that promote “gender ideology.” 

How we identified 8,000 missing government websites

Over the weekend, my colleague Ethan Singer reported that thousands of government websites had been taken offline, including those with information about vaccines, veterans’ care, hate crimes and scientific research. I asked Ethan to explain how he found them.

We started with a list of the most popular government websites as provided by the General Services Administration. Around 4 p.m. on Friday, I wrote a short computer program to go down the list and fetch each site’s “sitemap” — essentially a complete list of all the pages hosted on that site. (These pages are often used by search engines like Google to track what’s on the internet.)

After about an hour, I had a list of more than seven million web pages that were live as of 5 p.m., across more than 150 government sites.

After that, we just had to repeat the process and compare the new lists we got with the old ones. In all, we repeated it about 20 times. (I left it on overnight, letting it run on my laptop while a long YouTube video played so the machine wouldn’t go to sleep.)

Once it was complete, we looked through the list of pages that were on our original lists but not our most recent ones.

In the end, we found more than 8,000 removed pages across more than a dozen sites. Many of these pages seemed related to a Trump administration executive order to end programs that promote “gender ideology.” Others featured terms and phrases such as environmental justice; equity and inclusion; and pregnant people.

Read more here.

Ethan Singer

MORE POLITICS NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Ken Martin, left, the incoming chair of the Democratic National Committee, smiling and shaking hands with Jaime Harrison, the departing chair.

Allison Robbert for The New York Times

‘We Have No Coherent Message’: Democrats Struggle to Oppose Trump

More than 50 interviews with Democratic leaders revealed a party struggling to decide what it believes in, what issues to prioritize and how to confront an aggressive right-wing administration.

By Lisa Lerer and Reid J. Epstein

A line of people stand outside a small downtown building at night. Streetlights are on, and cars are parked along the street.

David Robert Elliott for The New York Times

House Democratic Super PAC Creates $50 Million Fund Targeting Working Class

The new investment for the midterms is a shift from 2024, when the House Majority PAC’s initial funds were earmarked for battleground seats in California and New York.

By Shane Goldmacher

Tulsi Gabbard sitting at a desk. She is wearing all white.

Eric Lee/The New York Times

Tulsi Gabbard Earns a Key Endorsement Ahead of a Committee Vote on Her Nomination

Democrats are united in opposition to her serving as the director of national intelligence. A single Republican no vote would complicate her confirmation by the full Senate.

By Julian E. Barnes and Carl Hulse

A man in a blue tie and a dark coat stands before microphones on an airport tarmac.

Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times

Musk Says Trump Wants to Shut Down U.S. Foreign Aid Agency

President Trump has stopped short of saying the U.S. Agency for International Development should be closed. Elon Musk’s comments added to the questions surrounding its future.

By Theodore Schleifer and Mike Ives

Ken Martin standing at the Minnesota Democratic headquarters in St. Paul.

Jenn Ackerman for The New York Times

Who Is Ken Martin, the New Leader of the D.N.C.?

Democrats elected a Midwesterner and behind-the-scenes operator to take charge of a party still reeling from defeat.

By Katie Glueck

Read past editions of the newsletter here.

If you’re enjoying what you’re reading, please consider recommending it to others. They can sign up here.

Have feedback? Ideas for coverage? We’d love to hear from you. Email us at onpolitics@nytimes.com.

Nate Cohn, The Times’s chief political analyst, makes sense of the latest political data.

Try four weeks of complimentary access to The Tilt

Nate Cohn, The Times’s chief political analyst, makes sense of the latest political data.

Get it in your inbox
A square filled with smaller squares and rectangles in shades of red and blue.

Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance.

You received this email because you signed up for On Politics from The New York Times.

To stop receiving On Politics, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request.

Subscribe to The Times